Clare Flynn Levy, founder of Essentia Analytics, explains how behavioral nudges improve fund manager decision-making during portfolio management.
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“What we find is that people's behavior changes, so when you do that, people do make a better decision, and it's not because we've told them what decision to make, it's because we've told them to pause and make a decision, whatever that decision is.”
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More from Clare Flynn Levy
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Flynn Levy: Nudge-prompted portfolio trades are usually more successful than normal trades
“And what we find is that they are more successful than your normal trades, usually.”
Clare Flynn LevyMar 12, 2018▶ 24:47Clare Flynn Levy and Cameron Hight - Moneyball for Managers (Capital Allocators, EP.43)
Insight
Flynn Levy: Contentious investment committee decisions often outperform unanimous ones
“And what we found so far is sometimes contentious decisions are the better decisions. For some people anyway, and for the first firm that we did this with, that was the case, which is, and particularly around whether, so when they would vote unanimously on som…”
Clare Flynn LevyMar 12, 2018▶ 26:52Clare Flynn Levy and Cameron Hight - Moneyball for Managers (Capital Allocators, EP.43)
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Flynn Levy: Managers who capture behavioral alpha will survive industry headwinds
“A lot of active managers will leave because it is getting so much harder to have a competitive advantage. But the ones who have behavioral alpha advantage, you know, where they actually are looking at their own behavior and saying, I want to continuously impro…”
Clare Flynn LevyMar 12, 2018▶ 35:02Clare Flynn Levy and Cameron Hight - Moneyball for Managers (Capital Allocators, EP.43)
Insight
Flynn Levy: Most active portfolio managers possess genuine underlying investment skill
“I see managers, it's like I look at x-rays all day long of different managers, and I see a lot of skill. It's quite rare that I see somebody where you're like, oh god, you should really find a different occupation. Usually there's something to work with”
Clare Flynn LevyMar 12, 2018▶ 35:51Clare Flynn Levy and Cameron Hight - Moneyball for Managers (Capital Allocators, EP.43)
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Flynn Levy: Most fund managers capitulate at bottoms due to loss aversion
“The vast majority of fund managers, not surprisingly, show evidence of loss aversion around exit timing when prices have been on a negative trend, or a positive one if they're short. So when the price is moving against you, the tendency is to hold on for too l…”
Clare Flynn LevyMar 12, 2018▶ 13:33Clare Flynn Levy and Cameron Hight - Moneyball for Managers (Capital Allocators, EP.43)
AssertionSupported
Flynn Levy: Disposition effect is less prevalent in professional managers than retail
“We definitely do sometimes see the disposition effect as an extension of the loss aversion point, so not just holding on losers for too long, but cutting winners early. Less prevalence in professional fund managers than in retail investors, though.”
Clare Flynn LevyMar 12, 2018▶ 15:03Clare Flynn Levy and Cameron Hight - Moneyball for Managers (Capital Allocators, EP.43)
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