Jim Falbe, founder of Saguaro Capital Management, explains why his firm avoids selling great businesses just because they reach estimated fair value.
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“What we've tried to do is say, hey, if we've got one of these really rare, truly great businesses, it's okay if it kind of gets to our midpoint of value, our fair value estimate. Unless we have some other opportunity that's just so much more compelling, let's allow this thing to compound over the long run, because that's why we bought it in the first place.”
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PredictionNot checkable as stated
Falbe: Visa, MasterCard, MarketAxess, and Tradeweb have 30-year protected growth moats
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Jim FalbeJun 8, 2023▶ 34:58Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
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Jim FalbeJun 8, 2023▶ 57:37Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
Insight
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“One of the things I really respect about CT that he did right was he always built a firm and prepared for the best case scenario. So I think a lot of people, they're like, I'll prepare for worst case scenario. You need to be prepared if something bad happens. …”
Jim FalbeJun 8, 2023▶ 15:27Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
AssertionNot checkable as stated
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“We know from experience and also from academic research that even the best companies out there They tend to experience a 50% drawdown from peak to trough at least once every decade”
Jim FalbeJun 8, 2023▶ 32:56Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
Disclosure
Saguaro evaluates businesses using valuation ranges rather than point estimates
“One of the things that makes us different from other people I know in the industry is we think in terms of ranges of values around businesses versus point estimates of value.”
Jim FalbeJun 8, 2023▶ 36:16Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
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