Josh Wolfe, co-founder of Lux Capital, discusses the macroeconomic environment and capital overhang across private equity and venture capital asset classes with Ted Seides.
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“Private equity generally, of which venture capital is like, you know, the tiny bit that's generally clustered into that ass glass, I think is going to see a huge pullback in at least new allocations, if not the pace of allocations.”
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More from Josh Wolfe
Insight
Wolfe: Smart employees at mega VC funds will likely never see carry
“The smart employees at those funds know that they will likely never see a dollar of carry. The larger the fund you raise, the harder it is to return in venture.”
Josh WolfeDec 8, 2025▶ 10:56Josh Wolfe & Brett McGurk – Venture, Geopolitics, and the Next Frontier (EP.476)
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Wolfe: AI infrastructure buildout will destroy hundreds of billions in capital
“On the capital market side, you see hundreds of billions of dollars destroyed of people that play the same game that you did back in 2000 with fiber optic cables.”
Josh WolfeDec 8, 2025▶ 42:37Josh Wolfe & Brett McGurk – Venture, Geopolitics, and the Next Frontier (EP.476)
Opinion
Wolfe: Geopolitical Rivalry with China and Russia Eclipses Climate Change
“So I think that those two forces are really going to be probably the most important thing to me, more important than climate change, more important than a lot of the things that have captured the current zeitgeist.”
Josh WolfeFeb 21, 2022▶ 32:51Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
PredictionOpen · timeframe Feb 2027
Wolfe: The Sahel and Maghreb Will Become Europe's Next Afghanistan
“I believe that that will be the next Afghanistan, particularly for Europe. I think that you will have Mali pulling France in. You will have Belgium being pulled in, you will have the UK and other EU countries adjacently being pulled in, the US being pulled in,…”
Josh WolfeFeb 21, 2022▶ 1:04:02Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
Opinion
Wolfe: SoftBank-funded unicorn capital is 'dead' and trapped under their control
“Many of these businesses either have commercial deals that are tied to them, or economic terms that are tied to them where the VCs or the entrepreneurs that might be celebrating, they just became a unicorn and are valued over a billion dollars and SoftBank jus…”
Wolfe calls IBM Watson 'utter BS' and dangerous in its marketing
“And then the last thing that I rail against also, which I think is utter BS is IBM Watson. And I think it's actually dangerous what they're promoting.”
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