Prediction certainty 2/5 debate potential 2/5

Acito: The next credit distress cycle could be an "Amazon distress cycle"

Chris Acito · Chris Acito – Credit Where Credit is Due (Capital Allocators, EP.33) · Dec 11, 2017 · at 55:30

Chris Acito, CEO and CIO of Gapstow Capital Partners, argues that credit distress manifests within isolated sectors rather than across the entire economy.

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“Maybe, maybe the next distress cycle is called the Amazon distress cycle. Again, where you have severe displacement of certain industries happening during a period of time in which the broader economy is doing fine”

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Opinion
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“We would argue it should be a systematic part of the portfolio. And I think really that is because it arguably is, is and could be taking the place Of what that fixed income component always had.”
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Insight
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Prediction Not checkable as stated
Acito: Investors waiting for another 2008-style crisis will not deploy capital
“And thankfully that's not going to be the next cycle. And I think for people who are going to wait for the apocalypse, apocalypse two to happen, I just, they're not going to get money to work. It's not going to be there, and they're going to be looking for som…”
Chris Acito Dec 11, 2017 ▶ 54:49 Chris Acito – Credit Where Credit is Due (Capital Allocators, EP.33)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Acito: Institutional allocators largely excluded credit strategies before 2008
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Assertion Supported
Acito: Institutional allocators rarely had dedicated credit allocations before 2015
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Opinion
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