Todd Boehly (former Guggenheim President) describes observing early indicators of debt market overheating leading up to the 2008 financial crisis.
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2031
Boehly predicted in 2021 that all states will allow sports gambling
“Is obviously not all the states allow gambling yet, but I think in 10 years time, that will be the case.”
Disclosure
Boehly: Team advised selling Enron bonds at 90 cents before collapse
“And at the time the Enron bonds were trading right around 88, 90 cents on the dollar, depending on the bond. And we basically made the recommendation to sell the Enron debt, and the CEO of Salmon's at the time said, you guys are wrong.”
Disclosure
Boehly: Dodgers' $2B valuation was justified by investment-grade media rights
“And ultimately, we came to a conclusion that we were very able to pay two billion dollars, because those media rights were effectively an investment grade bond, because you're going to get the offtake from an example, CBS, Fox, Time Warner, all of those partie…”
Disclosure
Boehly: Eldridge avoids investing in China without local presence and edge
“And if you don't have a real local presence, it's why, you know, anyone has said, well, why don't you go buy into China right now? China's depressed, or China's stock prices are down. And it's just like, I don't have any edge. And if I don't have an edge, then…”
Insight
Boehly: CLOs, CBOs, and CDOs are essentially limited-life banks
“And to me, a CLO or a CBO or a CDO Is really a bank with a limited life.”
Insight
Boehly: Lending offers a lower-risk look at businesses than equity
“When you're lending money, it's almost like dating. You can break up easily when you get paid off, but you also have a front row seat to understanding businesses, industries, management teams in a lower risk way than if you're at the bottom of the capital stru…”