Prediction Not checkable as stated
Toomey: Market Dislocation Will Force Consolidation of PE Brand Extensions
“I mean, just like in other periods of dislocation in the market, I do think you'll see a consolidation of the brand extensions that we've seen to Mario's point.”
Insight
Toomey: Private markets cannot easily be timed, but markets easily time allocators
“We have a saying here that it's very difficult to time private markets, but it's very easy for the markets to time you.”
Opinion
Toomey: Under-allocated LPs can now access previously closed top-tier managers
“If you are a newer investor in the asset class, if you are sitting on an allocation of five, six, seven percent, and you're trying to get to 10, I think it's actually a pretty interesting time to create investable opportunities and to create exposures that, an…”
Assertion Supported
Toomey: Private equity co-investment deal flow is rising despite overall deal declines
“We've seen already an uptick in the deal flow on the co-investment side. So although overall private equity deals are down, managers, because they're either overcapitalizing from the equity standpoint, or they're reserving more than they once did, or they now …”
Insight
Toomey: Core ESG principles align directly with economic benefit and risk management
“I actually think a lot of the principles of ESG, as Mario articulated in the FTX example, actually align quite well with economic benefit and managing risk.”
Assertion Supported
Toomey: Western Capital Flowing to China PE and VC Slowed Dramatically
“I think from an investable universe, half of the private equity in Asia had really ultimately been within China, and a lot of that was actually USD offshore. What's been interesting to watch is the size of the China private equity and venture market from a fun…”
Insight
Toomey: Market Fixation on Banking Stress Is Stalling Capital Deployment
“So for me, like the biggest sea change has been the rubbernecking, which has kind of gummed up the investable opportunities or the capital that would otherwise flow to what I think of as a pretty expansive universe of opportunities.”
Insight
LPs starting diligence when a private equity PPM prints are already late
“So if you're showing up with the PPM as it's printed, you are late. Like you are at the back of the line.”
Assertion Contradicted
Toomey: Secondary buyouts in private equity did not exist before 2002-2003
“And the fact that for the last 20 years, there's been secondary buyouts in this industry. That didn't exist before 2002, 2003.”
Insight
Co-investments where the lead sponsor holds only 20% lack sufficient alignment
“And the lead sponsor, this again, back to alignment, if the lead sponsor is 20% of the capital and co-investors are 80% of the capital, that's not very good alignment.”
Insight
Toomey: Co-investing in club deals reveals which PE sponsor truly leads
“In the club deals, you have the advantage point of, well, whoo, Who's actually doing the work? Who's actually just a financial investor? And who does management call when they have issues? Who does management defer to in the board meetings? And so that is inva…”
Assertion Supported
Secondaries shifted from distressed LP sales to GP-led liquidity solutions over 20 years
“And for 20 years, it was largely a distressed seller market. For the most part, the secondary market existed only because An owner of a limited partnership interest decided it didn't want to own that asset anymore. And what has changed in the last, say, five t…”
Insight
Toomey: International PE markets develop faster and differently than the US
“I think it would be a misconception to think that a market outside of the U.S. Is just X years behind the U.S. Or Y years. I mean, these are developing in their own ways. They're developing in a much faster pace than the U.S. Private equity markets have.”
Assertion Supported
Japan has the lowest developed-market private equity penetration but is becoming attractive
“A place like Japan, where the private equity as a percentage GDP is probably the lowest of any developed market in the world, as you see some of the daily headlines, that is changing, that is evolving, and so that's a quite attractive market today.”
Disclosure
Toomey: HarbourVest's Largest Historical Exits Came From China Venture Portfolio
“We've had some of the largest exits. That we've ever had across the history of our firm come out of our China venture portfolio because the numbers are just so unbelievable.”
Insight
Numerical investment committee ratings filter out lukewarm deals better than binary voting
“What we heard from TA was they adopted a numerical rating, one through five, and you had to have a collective number across The total voting members. And the reason why is, what they were trying to do was control for what I'd call the, I'm willing to go along …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Private equity managers entering at 12x EBITDA underwrite exits at 10x
“What we see is managers who, when they're underwriting a company and going in at 12 times, they're not underwriting to exit at 15. Actually, they're underwriting to exit at 10, because the market does go through cycles, and all that does is to get to your unde…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Toomey: ODD, ESG, and D&I Were Absent from PE Diligence 20 Years Ago
“And then I'd say the ODD, ESG, and DNI, those are all new dimensions that are very important today that really weren't part of the consciousness of us or even the industry 20 years ago.”
Insight
Toomey: Best test of GP credibility is tracking multi-year commitments
“To me, there's no greater way to measure or test a manager's credibility Then to verify that they did what they said they would do a year or two or three ago.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Toomey: Private equity co-investing only became an asset class in the past 5–10 years
“That market has really become a bonafide sub-asset class unto itself. That's really only a five or 10 year development. In the nineties, it wasn't even a cottage industry. It was nascent.”
Insight
LPs demand co-investments to blend down overall private equity management fees
“The other reason the co-investment markets exist today is general partners know and limited partners demand that, hey, look, this is just part of our relationship, and I'm going to invest X into your fund, and I'm going to pay one and a half and 20, and on the…”
Disclosure
Toomey: HarbourVest commits to giving GPs a 24-hour co-investment response
“On the co-investment side, what we found they value the most is, frankly, a quick no is always better than an elongated no. And so we just have this commitment, you know, 24 hour period, we will get back to the manager with a quick read.”
Assertion Partly supported
Top 25 private equity managers globally now average seven distinct product lines
“The top 25 managers in the world actually have, on average, seven product lines. That's up from two 10 years ago, and it's up from one 20 years ago, right?”
Disclosure
HarbourVest invested $50M to $60M into Wayfair's predecessor before its IPO
“We invested 50 or sixty million dollars out of that 200 into CSN stores, which became a rebranded as Wayfair, and a couple years later went public.”