May 31, 2021 · 56m · capital-allocators

Charley Ellis – The Magic of David Swensen (Capital Allocators, EP.197)

Charlie Ellis · 38m spoken Ted Seides · 12m spoken
0:00 / 0:00

gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

In this tribute episode of Capital Allocators, host Ted Seides and longtime Yale Investment Committee chair Charley Ellis reflect on the life, leadership, and investment philosophy of the late David Swensen. Ellis shares insider perspectives on Yale's governance, talent cultivation, risk management, and the evolving challenges of institutional asset allocation.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Ted holds 25.2% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Ted as informed peer 4.8 Guest teaching 3.6 Guest disagreement 1.5 Ted pushing back 0.3
05100:0015:0030:0045:005:23–7:38 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 First Meeting and Invitation to Yale's Investment Committee Ted opens with warm framing regarding their shared history with David Swensen. Charlie warmly recounts his first meeting with Swensen at a T. Rowe Price conference and receiving the invitation to join Yale's Investment Committee.7:39–10:18 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Rigorous Preparation for Yale Committee Meetings Ted asks how preparation evolved over the years. Charlie explains the extraordinary rigor of Swensen's preparation materials, likening the committee's dynamic to a military unit preparing for an admiral.10:20–16:26 · Ted as informed peer 5/10 Boardroom Dynamics and Governance Process Ted posits that the committee had a deferential relationship to Swensen and his staff. Charlie immediately corrects this framing, using the analogy of Secretary Stimson and General Marshall to explain that questions were meant to understand depth rather than enforce compliance.16:26–19:38 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Intellectual Discipline and Swensen's Early Background Ted prompts Charlie on the internal office culture. Charlie discusses Swensen's intellectual lineage under Nobel laureate Jim Tobin and his pioneering execution of the first interest rate swap.19:38–23:59 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Leadership Style and the Talent Selection Funnel Ted asks how Swensen's leadership style compared across the global asset management industry. Charlie details Swensen's selective talent funnel, starting from his undergraduate seminar to internship and full-time hiring.23:59–29:08 · Ted as informed peer 5/10 Internal Office Environment and Vigorous Debate Ted draws on his insider perspective to ask about internal office debates and manager sourcing. Charlie explains how Swensen fostered egalitarian debate internally and cultivated early-stage managers into world-class partners.29:08–31:50 · Ted as informed peer 5/10 The Foundational Philosophy of Risk Control Ted questions why Swensen achieved such a high hit rate compared to peers. Charlie reframes the entire discussion, asserting that Swensen's true secret was an uncompromising focus on risk control and counterparty character over pure returns.31:51–35:55 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Mid-roll Sponsor Message: Ridgeline Platform Following an ad read, Ted asks how Yale managed manager longevity despite market volatility. Charlie details how Swensen acted like a Dutch uncle to guide early-stage managers through strategy shifts.35:55–40:09 · Ted as informed peer 6/10 Subtle Innovations and Counterparty Screening Ted asks about subtle, unpublished portfolio innovations like avoiding airline stocks. Charlie illustrates this with Yale dropping Lehman Brothers as a counterparty years before the 2008 collapse and rejecting corporate bonds due to unfavorable risk-reward pricing.40:09–44:45 · Ted as informed peer 6/10 Replicability and the Evolution of the Yale Model Ted raises the question of whether Swensen's model is replicable today given the network of trained alumni. Charlie points out that as market efficiency has grown and secrets have been shared, the active alpha spread has compressed significantly.44:46–49:33 · Ted as informed peer 5/10 Winning the Loser's Game: Indexing and Asset Framing Ted inquires about updates in the new edition of Winning the Loser's Game. Charlie makes a passionate case against calling indexing passive and explains why investors must frame human capital and earning power into their asset allocation.49:33–52:36 · Ted as informed peer 6/10 Private Equity Inflows and Client-Specific Portfolios Ted probes on how allocators flood into private markets to meet return hurdles. Charlie warns that massive capital inflows and talent migration into private equity will inevitably arbitrage away historical return premiums.52:36–55:37 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 David Swensen's Enduring Legacy and Emotional Farewell Ted invites Charlie to reflect on Swensen's legacy. Charlie compares Swensen to foundational figures like Graham, Dodd, and Cabot, concluding with an emotional reflection on wearing Swensen's cancer support wristband.5:23–7:38 · Guest teaching 2/10 First Meeting and Invitation to Yale's Investment Committee Ted opens with warm framing regarding their shared history with David Swensen. Charlie warmly recounts his first meeting with Swensen at a T. Rowe Price conference and receiving the invitation to join Yale's Investment Committee.7:39–10:18 · Guest teaching 3/10 Rigorous Preparation for Yale Committee Meetings Ted asks how preparation evolved over the years. Charlie explains the extraordinary rigor of Swensen's preparation materials, likening the committee's dynamic to a military unit preparing for an admiral.10:20–16:26 · Guest teaching 6/10 Boardroom Dynamics and Governance Process Ted posits that the committee had a deferential relationship to Swensen and his staff. Charlie immediately corrects this framing, using the analogy of Secretary Stimson and General Marshall to explain that questions were meant to understand depth rather than enforce compliance.16:26–19:38 · Guest teaching 3/10 Intellectual Discipline and Swensen's Early Background Ted prompts Charlie on the internal office culture. Charlie discusses Swensen's intellectual lineage under Nobel laureate Jim Tobin and his pioneering execution of the first interest rate swap.19:38–23:59 · Guest teaching 4/10 Leadership Style and the Talent Selection Funnel Ted asks how Swensen's leadership style compared across the global asset management industry. Charlie details Swensen's selective talent funnel, starting from his undergraduate seminar to internship and full-time hiring.23:59–29:08 · Guest teaching 3/10 Internal Office Environment and Vigorous Debate Ted draws on his insider perspective to ask about internal office debates and manager sourcing. Charlie explains how Swensen fostered egalitarian debate internally and cultivated early-stage managers into world-class partners.29:08–31:50 · Guest teaching 5/10 The Foundational Philosophy of Risk Control Ted questions why Swensen achieved such a high hit rate compared to peers. Charlie reframes the entire discussion, asserting that Swensen's true secret was an uncompromising focus on risk control and counterparty character over pure returns.31:51–35:55 · Guest teaching 3/10 Mid-roll Sponsor Message: Ridgeline Platform Following an ad read, Ted asks how Yale managed manager longevity despite market volatility. Charlie details how Swensen acted like a Dutch uncle to guide early-stage managers through strategy shifts.35:55–40:09 · Guest teaching 3/10 Subtle Innovations and Counterparty Screening Ted asks about subtle, unpublished portfolio innovations like avoiding airline stocks. Charlie illustrates this with Yale dropping Lehman Brothers as a counterparty years before the 2008 collapse and rejecting corporate bonds due to unfavorable risk-reward pricing.40:09–44:45 · Guest teaching 4/10 Replicability and the Evolution of the Yale Model Ted raises the question of whether Swensen's model is replicable today given the network of trained alumni. Charlie points out that as market efficiency has grown and secrets have been shared, the active alpha spread has compressed significantly.44:46–49:33 · Guest teaching 5/10 Winning the Loser's Game: Indexing and Asset Framing Ted inquires about updates in the new edition of Winning the Loser's Game. Charlie makes a passionate case against calling indexing passive and explains why investors must frame human capital and earning power into their asset allocation.49:33–52:36 · Guest teaching 4/10 Private Equity Inflows and Client-Specific Portfolios Ted probes on how allocators flood into private markets to meet return hurdles. Charlie warns that massive capital inflows and talent migration into private equity will inevitably arbitrage away historical return premiums.52:36–55:37 · Guest teaching 2/10 David Swensen's Enduring Legacy and Emotional Farewell Ted invites Charlie to reflect on Swensen's legacy. Charlie compares Swensen to foundational figures like Graham, Dodd, and Cabot, concluding with an emotional reflection on wearing Swensen's cancer support wristband.5:23–7:38 · Guest disagreement 1/10 First Meeting and Invitation to Yale's Investment Committee Ted opens with warm framing regarding their shared history with David Swensen. Charlie warmly recounts his first meeting with Swensen at a T. Rowe Price conference and receiving the invitation to join Yale's Investment Committee.7:39–10:18 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Rigorous Preparation for Yale Committee Meetings Ted asks how preparation evolved over the years. Charlie explains the extraordinary rigor of Swensen's preparation materials, likening the committee's dynamic to a military unit preparing for an admiral.10:20–16:26 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Boardroom Dynamics and Governance Process Ted posits that the committee had a deferential relationship to Swensen and his staff. Charlie immediately corrects this framing, using the analogy of Secretary Stimson and General Marshall to explain that questions were meant to understand depth rather than enforce compliance.16:26–19:38 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Intellectual Discipline and Swensen's Early Background Ted prompts Charlie on the internal office culture. Charlie discusses Swensen's intellectual lineage under Nobel laureate Jim Tobin and his pioneering execution of the first interest rate swap.19:38–23:59 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Leadership Style and the Talent Selection Funnel Ted asks how Swensen's leadership style compared across the global asset management industry. Charlie details Swensen's selective talent funnel, starting from his undergraduate seminar to internship and full-time hiring.23:59–29:08 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Internal Office Environment and Vigorous Debate Ted draws on his insider perspective to ask about internal office debates and manager sourcing. Charlie explains how Swensen fostered egalitarian debate internally and cultivated early-stage managers into world-class partners.29:08–31:50 · Guest disagreement 2/10 The Foundational Philosophy of Risk Control Ted questions why Swensen achieved such a high hit rate compared to peers. Charlie reframes the entire discussion, asserting that Swensen's true secret was an uncompromising focus on risk control and counterparty character over pure returns.31:51–35:55 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Mid-roll Sponsor Message: Ridgeline Platform Following an ad read, Ted asks how Yale managed manager longevity despite market volatility. Charlie details how Swensen acted like a Dutch uncle to guide early-stage managers through strategy shifts.35:55–40:09 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Subtle Innovations and Counterparty Screening Ted asks about subtle, unpublished portfolio innovations like avoiding airline stocks. Charlie illustrates this with Yale dropping Lehman Brothers as a counterparty years before the 2008 collapse and rejecting corporate bonds due to unfavorable risk-reward pricing.40:09–44:45 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Replicability and the Evolution of the Yale Model Ted raises the question of whether Swensen's model is replicable today given the network of trained alumni. Charlie points out that as market efficiency has grown and secrets have been shared, the active alpha spread has compressed significantly.44:46–49:33 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Winning the Loser's Game: Indexing and Asset Framing Ted inquires about updates in the new edition of Winning the Loser's Game. Charlie makes a passionate case against calling indexing passive and explains why investors must frame human capital and earning power into their asset allocation.49:33–52:36 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Private Equity Inflows and Client-Specific Portfolios Ted probes on how allocators flood into private markets to meet return hurdles. Charlie warns that massive capital inflows and talent migration into private equity will inevitably arbitrage away historical return premiums.52:36–55:37 · Guest disagreement 0/10 David Swensen's Enduring Legacy and Emotional Farewell Ted invites Charlie to reflect on Swensen's legacy. Charlie compares Swensen to foundational figures like Graham, Dodd, and Cabot, concluding with an emotional reflection on wearing Swensen's cancer support wristband.5:23–7:38 · Ted pushing back 0/10 First Meeting and Invitation to Yale's Investment Committee Ted opens with warm framing regarding their shared history with David Swensen. Charlie warmly recounts his first meeting with Swensen at a T. Rowe Price conference and receiving the invitation to join Yale's Investment Committee.7:39–10:18 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Rigorous Preparation for Yale Committee Meetings Ted asks how preparation evolved over the years. Charlie explains the extraordinary rigor of Swensen's preparation materials, likening the committee's dynamic to a military unit preparing for an admiral.10:20–16:26 · Ted pushing back 2/10 Boardroom Dynamics and Governance Process Ted posits that the committee had a deferential relationship to Swensen and his staff. Charlie immediately corrects this framing, using the analogy of Secretary Stimson and General Marshall to explain that questions were meant to understand depth rather than enforce compliance.16:26–19:38 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Intellectual Discipline and Swensen's Early Background Ted prompts Charlie on the internal office culture. Charlie discusses Swensen's intellectual lineage under Nobel laureate Jim Tobin and his pioneering execution of the first interest rate swap.19:38–23:59 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Leadership Style and the Talent Selection Funnel Ted asks how Swensen's leadership style compared across the global asset management industry. Charlie details Swensen's selective talent funnel, starting from his undergraduate seminar to internship and full-time hiring.23:59–29:08 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Internal Office Environment and Vigorous Debate Ted draws on his insider perspective to ask about internal office debates and manager sourcing. Charlie explains how Swensen fostered egalitarian debate internally and cultivated early-stage managers into world-class partners.29:08–31:50 · Ted pushing back 0/10 The Foundational Philosophy of Risk Control Ted questions why Swensen achieved such a high hit rate compared to peers. Charlie reframes the entire discussion, asserting that Swensen's true secret was an uncompromising focus on risk control and counterparty character over pure returns.31:51–35:55 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Mid-roll Sponsor Message: Ridgeline Platform Following an ad read, Ted asks how Yale managed manager longevity despite market volatility. Charlie details how Swensen acted like a Dutch uncle to guide early-stage managers through strategy shifts.35:55–40:09 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Subtle Innovations and Counterparty Screening Ted asks about subtle, unpublished portfolio innovations like avoiding airline stocks. Charlie illustrates this with Yale dropping Lehman Brothers as a counterparty years before the 2008 collapse and rejecting corporate bonds due to unfavorable risk-reward pricing.40:09–44:45 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Replicability and the Evolution of the Yale Model Ted raises the question of whether Swensen's model is replicable today given the network of trained alumni. Charlie points out that as market efficiency has grown and secrets have been shared, the active alpha spread has compressed significantly.44:46–49:33 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Winning the Loser's Game: Indexing and Asset Framing Ted inquires about updates in the new edition of Winning the Loser's Game. Charlie makes a passionate case against calling indexing passive and explains why investors must frame human capital and earning power into their asset allocation.49:33–52:36 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Private Equity Inflows and Client-Specific Portfolios Ted probes on how allocators flood into private markets to meet return hurdles. Charlie warns that massive capital inflows and talent migration into private equity will inevitably arbitrage away historical return premiums.52:36–55:37 · Ted pushing back 0/10 David Swensen's Enduring Legacy and Emotional Farewell Ted invites Charlie to reflect on Swensen's legacy. Charlie compares Swensen to foundational figures like Graham, Dodd, and Cabot, concluding with an emotional reflection on wearing Swensen's cancer support wristband.

speaking balance: gold is Ted, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Ted 100% · guest 0%0:00 · Ted 100% · guest 0%3:00 · Ted 91.5% · guest 8.5%3:00 · Ted 91.5% · guest 8.5%6:00 · Ted 3.6% · guest 96.4%6:00 · Ted 3.6% · guest 96.4%9:00 · Ted 8.4% · guest 91.6%9:00 · Ted 8.4% · guest 91.6%12:00 · Ted 17.3% · guest 82.7%12:00 · Ted 17.3% · guest 82.7%15:00 · Ted 13.1% · guest 86.9%15:00 · Ted 13.1% · guest 86.9%18:00 · Ted 3.4% · guest 96.6%18:00 · Ted 3.4% · guest 96.6%21:00 · Ted 0.5% · guest 99.5%21:00 · Ted 0.5% · guest 99.5%24:00 · Ted 27.2% · guest 72.8%24:00 · Ted 27.2% · guest 72.8%27:00 · Ted 14.7% · guest 85.3%27:00 · Ted 14.7% · guest 85.3%30:00 · Ted 38.3% · guest 61.7%30:00 · Ted 38.3% · guest 61.7%33:00 · Ted 10.2% · guest 89.8%33:00 · Ted 10.2% · guest 89.8%36:00 · Ted 21% · guest 79%36:00 · Ted 21% · guest 79%39:00 · Ted 30.8% · guest 69.2%39:00 · Ted 30.8% · guest 69.2%42:00 · Ted 31.1% · guest 68.9%42:00 · Ted 31.1% · guest 68.9%45:00 · Ted 0% · guest 100%45:00 · Ted 0% · guest 100%48:00 · Ted 27.4% · guest 72.6%48:00 · Ted 27.4% · guest 72.6%51:00 · Ted 14.4% · guest 85.6%51:00 · Ted 14.4% · guest 85.6%54:00 · Ted 26.7% · guest 73.3%54:00 · Ted 26.7% · guest 73.3%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 15:09 Direct rejection of committee deference

Ellis directly dismisses Seides's suggestion that the investment committee operated with a deferential posture toward Swensen, calling it a big misunderstanding.

Hardest push from Ted ▶ 15:00 Seides challenges committee autonomy

Seides challenges Ellis on the committee's real authority, suggesting modern behavioral science would view the setup as purely rubber-stamping Swensen's proposals.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 15:15 Stimson and Marshall governance analogy

Ellis uses the historical dynamic between War Secretary Stimson and General Marshall to educate Seides on how high-caliber committees ask questions to catch up rather than police.

Ted holds their own ▶ 49:20 Seides synthesizes modern CIO dilemmas

Seides displays deep industry expertise by synthesizing how CIOs face return shortfalls in public markets and are forced into private equity to meet distribution targets.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicTed as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementTed pushing backWhy
First Meeting and Invitation to Yale's Investment Committee 4210 Ted opens with warm framing regarding their shared history with David Swensen. Charlie warmly recounts his first meeting with Swensen at a T. Rowe Price conference and receiving the invitation to join Yale's Investment Committee.
Rigorous Preparation for Yale Committee Meetings 4310 Ted asks how preparation evolved over the years. Charlie explains the extraordinary rigor of Swensen's preparation materials, likening the committee's dynamic to a military unit preparing for an admiral.
Boardroom Dynamics and Governance Process 5642 Ted posits that the committee had a deferential relationship to Swensen and his staff. Charlie immediately corrects this framing, using the analogy of Secretary Stimson and General Marshall to explain that questions were meant to understand depth rather than enforce compliance.
Intellectual Discipline and Swensen's Early Background 4310 Ted prompts Charlie on the internal office culture. Charlie discusses Swensen's intellectual lineage under Nobel laureate Jim Tobin and his pioneering execution of the first interest rate swap.
Leadership Style and the Talent Selection Funnel 4410 Ted asks how Swensen's leadership style compared across the global asset management industry. Charlie details Swensen's selective talent funnel, starting from his undergraduate seminar to internship and full-time hiring.
Internal Office Environment and Vigorous Debate 5310 Ted draws on his insider perspective to ask about internal office debates and manager sourcing. Charlie explains how Swensen fostered egalitarian debate internally and cultivated early-stage managers into world-class partners.
The Foundational Philosophy of Risk Control 5520 Ted questions why Swensen achieved such a high hit rate compared to peers. Charlie reframes the entire discussion, asserting that Swensen's true secret was an uncompromising focus on risk control and counterparty character over pure returns.
Mid-roll Sponsor Message: Ridgeline Platform 4310 Following an ad read, Ted asks how Yale managed manager longevity despite market volatility. Charlie details how Swensen acted like a Dutch uncle to guide early-stage managers through strategy shifts.
Subtle Innovations and Counterparty Screening 6310 Ted asks about subtle, unpublished portfolio innovations like avoiding airline stocks. Charlie illustrates this with Yale dropping Lehman Brothers as a counterparty years before the 2008 collapse and rejecting corporate bonds due to unfavorable risk-reward pricing.
Replicability and the Evolution of the Yale Model 6421 Ted raises the question of whether Swensen's model is replicable today given the network of trained alumni. Charlie points out that as market efficiency has grown and secrets have been shared, the active alpha spread has compressed significantly.
Winning the Loser's Game: Indexing and Asset Framing 5520 Ted inquires about updates in the new edition of Winning the Loser's Game. Charlie makes a passionate case against calling indexing passive and explains why investors must frame human capital and earning power into their asset allocation.
Private Equity Inflows and Client-Specific Portfolios 6421 Ted probes on how allocators flood into private markets to meet return hurdles. Charlie warns that massive capital inflows and talent migration into private equity will inevitably arbitrage away historical return premiums.
David Swensen's Enduring Legacy and Emotional Farewell 4200 Ted invites Charlie to reflect on Swensen's legacy. Charlie compares Swensen to foundational figures like Graham, Dodd, and Cabot, concluding with an emotional reflection on wearing Swensen's cancer support wristband.

Statements from this episode (18)

Insight
Ellis: Fiduciary duty must precede commercial profit in asset management
“The business part is really nice, but it is not the motivating force and it is not what we should be aiming for. We take it because it comes, but the real purpose is the professional side.”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 7:15
Disclosure
Ellis: Yale investment prep required reading thick binders for 12 hours
“And for me, it was a guaranteed twelve-hour day, eight in the morning to late at night, trying to be sure that I was on top of all the different dimensions of analysis and thinking that had been put together in these books. And, you know, they were inch and a …”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 8:35
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ellis: Only one investment proposal was withdrawn at Yale across 17 years
“Once, gee, once in 1516, 17 years, an item was withdrawn for further consideration, and of course it never came back.”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 10:43
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ellis: Yale checked up to 25 references compared to industry standard four
“I've served on 14 different investment committees, and the usual due diligence is four or five references for any major manager decision. Ah, not at Yale. 15, maybe. 20, maybe. Might even get to 25.”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 11:16
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ellis: Swensen never lobbied or buttered up Yale investment committee members
“There was none of the apple polishing or brass polishing or let's be friends and let's develop a special rapport. Uh-uh. Not at all. It's all very, very disciplined process.”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 14:32
Assertion Supported
Ellis: David Swensen was the first person to execute a derivative swap
“David's the first person in the world to do a derivative swap. First person in the world”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 18:44
Insight
Ellis: Swensen sourced elite talent via a strict Yale student recruiting funnel
“So it's like a funnel, that wide angle at the beginning, thousand students a year at Yale, down to 25 students in the class, down to one or two chosen for summer interns. Down to one or two chosen for the long term. It's just, by the time you do all the sortin…”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 22:43
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ellis: Swensen rarely chose widely known investment managers for Yale
“Well, first of all, very few of the managers he's chose at any time were at all widely known. They just were never widely known until after they had been chosen.”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 26:53
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ellis: Yale seeded emerging managers and structurally co-designed their firms
“And the characteristics of that unusualness would be first that they were Yale chosen when they were first getting started. And then Yale would be a major account for them. Usually their sole major account or their leading major account. And usually right from…”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 27:23
Insight
Ellis: David Swensen prioritized absolute risk control over returns at Yale
“Absolute imperative was the focus, first, second, third, on risk. Everybody looks at the rate of return success that the Yale endowment had, and it is. A wonderful rate of return success. But the really great secret or the great lesson to learn is that David S…”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 30:47
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Seides: David Swensen completely excluded any investment manager holding airline stocks
“He used to hate airline stocks and any manager who owned them was off the list.”
Ted Seides May 31, 2021 ▶ 35:56
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ellis: Yale removed Lehman Brothers as counterparty years before its collapse
“So sure enough, Lehman was on the list years before the Lehman problem, and years before the Lehman problem, they were taken off the list. And why? Because if you examined it rigorously and carefully, you would realize they're not quite as good at this kind of…”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 38:05
Insight
Ellis: Corporate bonds fail to compensate for risk compared to US Treasuries
“And why aren't there any corporate bonds? Because the pricing of corporate bonds compared to treasuries doesn't reward for the risk that's being taken.”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 38:28
Opinion
Ellis: Asset class and manager selection alpha has decayed to 50 bps
“Where he could have added maybe 200 basis points in each of those two dimensions, then it was a 150, then a hundred. And I would guess it's down under a hundred now, maybe in around 50, and there's not going to be another source that I know of.”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 42:49
Insight
Ellis: Increasing manager talent makes markets hyper-efficient, diminishing active outperformance
“The biggest information for people who are interested in the profession and for people who are looking for a good manager is the data documenting the inability of active managers to outperform other brilliantly talented, fully informed, Fabulous equipment, act…”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 44:57
Insight
Ellis: Portfolio design must incorporate human capital earning power and Social Security
“Any family, any individual who's trying to think what their portfolio should be, and put their blinkers on, and just look at the securities portion, is in my view, making a mistake of excluding other factors that really make a difference.”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 48:55
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ellis: Influx of talent will eventually arbitrage away private equity return premiums
“And so we're going to have lots of talented people going into private equity. And over time, they will arbitrage the difference risk adjusted and liquidity adjusted pretty well between publicly listed securities and private equity.”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 51:26
Insight
Ellis: Swensen's core lesson is tailoring portfolios to unique client characteristics
“I think he would do what he did the first time, and this is the most important lesson he taught, but most people don't even pay attention to it. Who is the client? What are the characteristics that make that client unusual or even unique, and how can you devis…”
Charlie Ellis May 31, 2021 ▶ 52:13
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