Opinion
Dixon: Five to ten companies essentially control the internet
“You have five, maybe 10 companies that essentially control the internet. You still have open protocols like the web and email, but they've been diminished in their influence and power.”
Insight
Dixon: Web3 combines Web1 open protocols with Web2 functionality
“The goal of web three is to get the best of both worlds, to get the democratized open protocols of web one and the advanced functionality that we've come to love, mobile apps, fast user experience, everything else from web two and combine those.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Non-crypto VCs see over 50% of founders pitching Web3
“When I talk to friends who aren't even into crypto and web three technology investors, they'll tell me something on the order of 50% or more of the entrepreneurs that come to them are doing web three.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram pay zero ad revenue to creators
“Twitter and Facebook have zero dollar revenue share. Instagram is zero dollars. So Instagram makes all their money on advertising. They pay zero out to the creators.”
Disclosure
Dixon: a16z recently invested in social networks offering creators 98% payouts
“We've invested in a bunch just recently where instead of the creators getting zero percent, they get 98%.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Google and Facebook will become low-growth legacy giants like IBM
“I think they're very likely going to become like IBM and HP and just chugging along and not really doing much new innovative stuff. They'll still be around and they'll still have their services, but I think that their relevance and growth are limited.”
Insight
Dixon: Web3 token ownership eliminates heavy customer acquisition spending
“In blockchain web three, there's been very, very few cases of people spending significant money on customer acquisition. One of the exciting things of web three is that the users, because they have tokens, because they have ownership, they become evangelists f…”
Disclosure
Dixon: a16z Crypto funds have 10 to 15-year lifecycles
“Our funds are 10 to 15 year funds.”
Opinion
Dixon: Focusing on institutional crypto adoption puts the cart before horse
“I think of it as we need to build great products used by billions of people. And then I just assume the institutions will follow. The institutions are going to go where the growth and the money is, frankly. That's what comes first. So I feel like people are pu…”
Disclosure
Dixon: a16z Crypto just raised a $4.5 billion fund
“We just raised a four and a half billion dollar new fund.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: a16z owns less than 5% of most Web3 networks
“Generally what we own, contrary to Jack Dorsey and others saying that we own web three, we generally own sub five percent of most of these networks.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: OpenSea paid out around $5B to creators last year
“We're investors in OpenSea, which is an NFT platform. We put a report out recently where we calculated how much OpenSea had paid out to creative people. And it was something on the order of five billion dollars last year with a B”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dixon: Web3 payouts will pass Web2 payouts in next couple years
“I believe we'll see in the next couple of years, web three payouts past web two payouts.”
Opinion
Dixon: Twitter shutting down its developer ecosystem was a mistake
“Twitter decided to shut that down because they decided to pursue an advertising business model, which I think was a mistake, but that's what they did.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: 99% of daily software interacted with is open source
“99% of the software that your listeners are interacting with on a daily basis is open source software.”
Insight
Dixon: Power in tech is almost always driven by network effects
“Power in tech is network effects, almost always. Occasionally you have scale effects, brand effects, but generally it's network effects.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Web3 services will not have dominant network effects locking users in
“In the case of Web three, the network is owned by the community yet. I think you'll have big services. We'll hopefully invest in some of them, but they won't have the dominant network effects that lock you in and users will have a choice. Users can exit.”
Opinion
Dixon: I would leave Twitter if I could take my followers with me
“If I had that same ability on Twitter, I'd switch off of Twitter. I'd switch C. Dixon on Twitter to something else because I don't like how they run that service. They have spam and a bunch of other things, and I'd like to switch and take my followers with me,…”
Assertion Partly supported
Dixon: Almost all major mobile apps were created between 2009 and 2011
“Almost all of the big mobile apps were created between 2009 and 11.”
Opinion
Dixon: Blockchains are close to abstraction maturity but not there yet
“I think we're close to that in blockchains and crypto, but we're not quite there yet. So we're making a lot of investments in the infrastructure layer to get to that point.”
Insight
Dixon: Composability is the compound interest of software development
“I like to say composability is the software as compounding interest is the finance. It has that same amazing thing. When you do compounded interest, you're like, whoa, that really matters a lot. This is obviously well known to your listeners, but in software, …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Compound and on-chain DeFi protocols performed well through market volatility
“And Compound, by the way, contrary to a lot of the news you'll read today, Compound and all of the other on-chain DeFi protocols have performed quite well in this volatile market.”
Assertion Supported
Dixon: Uniswap surpassed $1 trillion in trading volume
“Uniswap, which is what's called a decentralized exchange, just passed a trillion dollars in trading volume”
Opinion
Dixon: Ethereum Layer 2 networks are ready for prime time
“We're seeing production ready scaled other networks, including what are called layer two networks on top of Ethereum that are really ready for prime time. And that dramatically lowers the transaction costs and therefore opens up a lot of new design possibiliti…”
Opinion
Dixon: US stablecoin regulation perversely incentivizes offshore evasion
“USDC gets all the attention from the regulators and the other ones are ignored. And it creates this perverse incentive where it actually, I think, incentivizes people to be offshore, more aggressive, because they don't get the scrutiny, and the people that wan…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Majority of top studio spinouts are building Web3 games
“Those game developers, I would say the majority of them are now doing NFT web three gaming.”
Disclosure
Dixon: a16z Has Invested in Roughly 15 Top Game Studios
“We've probably made 15 investments in what I would call world-class game developers.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Gaming Metaverse Economies Will Provide Livelihoods for Many People
“I think that trend will only increase and there'll be more and more people who earn a living digitally. And I think creating spaceships and EVE online and selling goods and creating worlds and doing all sorts of other creative activities, for example, in a gam…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Technical Infrastructure for Cross-Game Item Interoperability Exists Today
“I think the programming is there today. NFTs are pretty simple programming standard that's relatively easy to bring from one game to another.”
Opinion
Dixon: Hollywood understands Web3 and NFTs while Silicon Valley dismisses them
“People at Google and Facebook, in my experience, just don't get this stuff. Web two entrepreneurs just scratching their heads and they say it's all scams and fraud. They just don't get it. People in Hollywood get it. It's not weird to them. They've been sellin…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: a16z Crypto operates as an 80-person team with 50 operating specialists
“From an operational point of view, we're a completely independent team. We have 80 people on the crypto team. 13 are on the investment team. Then there's some set of back office and support, and then 50 or so on our operating teams.”
Disclosure
Dixon: a16z Crypto never joins party rounds and only leads investments
“When we invest, we don't do quote unquote party rounds. We don't put a little bit of money here and dabble. We either invest and lead and back up the truck and put all our resources behind it and roll up our sleeves or we don't invest.”
Insight
Dixon: Web3 hiring values open source contributions over formal credentials
“In our world, a lot of people may not have formal educations. They may not have the same pedigree, brand name resumes. We've hired a lot of people who have not gone to college. What we want to see is they've demonstrated excellence. That excellence can be thro…”
Opinion
Dixon: Tech workers lack mission drive in SaaS compared to Web3
“This is in no way to diminish other categories, but I just don't think people feel mission-driven with respect to SaaS software, as an example, or databases. I think those are important categories, just so you know, and our firm invests in them. They provide r…”
Insight
Dixon: Backing well-rounded founders leads to mediocre returns
“One of our core frameworks is invest in strengths, not lack of weaknesses. So what that means is look for people with some kind of superpower, but that doesn't mean they have to be well-rounded. The truth is a lot of great people and a lot of great companies h…”
Insight
Dixon: Surviving startup troughs requires grit and cross-disciplinary knowledge
“You get through that trough, you have to have two characteristics. You have to really just be all in. You have to have grit and you have to be willing to put up with that and be kind of miserable and all your friends say, what are you doing and why are you was…”
Opinion
Dixon: 2022 crypto crash resembles 2008 macro shock, not crypto winters
“To me, this feels more like 2008 than the crypto downturns of 2014 and 18. The macro thing with inflation, interest rates, the next few months will tell maybe the inflation was transitory or maybe it will lead to problems in real estate and credit markets. And…”
Insight
Dixon: Tech scaling laws are economically driven, not physical inevitabilities
“If you look at just generally at the history of technology, people mistakenly think of these things as laws of physics, like Moore's law. People talk about as if magically There's this inevitable march towards being able to pack more transistors on chips. I th…”
Disclosure
Dixon: Most a16z crypto portfolio companies are domiciled in the US
“Most of our companies are domiciled in the United States. We always recommend that.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: Tech and media are the United States' two main exports
“We basically have two exports in the U S right now. We have tech and media. Just look at the numbers. Those are the two killer products that we have.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: a16z invested in all 15 Coinbase funding rounds pre-IPO
“So Coinbase, as an example, I was on the board and we invested in but they did 15 rounds of financing before they went public and we invested in every single one of them.”
Assertion Partly supported
Dixon: a16z backed Dapper Labs across six rounds before Top Shot
“Dapper Labs is a company that makes this popular product called Top Shot. But before Top Shot, they did, I think it was six rounds of financing and invested in all of them.”
Insight
Dixon: a16z expects founder perseverance, not guaranteed success
“We don't expect them to win or be successful, but we expect them to try really hard. A pet peeve would be entrepreneurs who just don't keep that covenant. Hey, I'm going to quit my startup and go take this cushy job. When we invest, that's kind of the only thi…”
Insight
Dixon: True tech community is grassroots peer affinity, matching early PC culture
“To me, a community is not when you look up to a leader like Steve Jobs. It's when you bump into somebody at a bar, and they're interested in that topic, and you actually feel an affinity. And that's how the PC felt back then, and that's how crypto feels today.”
Disclosure
Dixon: Only one or two other firms would have backed Oculus then
“I led our investment in Oculus, which was a large check and a hardware company and one or two other firms on earth at the time. Would have both the financial resources and the will to do that kind of investing.”
Insight
Dixon: People with tech skills dramatically overestimate startup risk
“Generally people who might be listening to this, who are interested in technology, if you have tech skills and you're in this world, they dramatically overestimate the risk of starting a company.”