Mar 6, 2023 · 1h 16m · capital-allocators

Tom Steyer – Investing to Save Humanity (Climate Solutions EP.1, Capital Allocators EP. 300)

Tom Steyer · 53m spoken Ted Seides · 13m spoken
0:00 / 0:00

gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

In this premiere episode of Capital Allocators' Climate Solutions miniseries, host Ted Seides interviews Farallon Capital founder and Galvanize Climate Solutions co-founder Tom Steyer about his investing career, presidential campaign, and the commercial imperative of planetary decarbonization. Steyer explains how institutional risk discipline, multi-asset strategies, and purpose-driven leadership can deliver market-beating returns while accelerating global climate solutions.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Ted holds 20% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Ted as informed peer 4.4 Guest teaching 3.9 Guest disagreement 2.1 Ted pushing back 1.6
05100:0020:0040:001:00:007:34–10:53 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Early Career and Developing the Investor Mindset Ted prompts Tom to reflect on his formative investment mindset. Tom explains his intuitive approach to investing at a young age, including buying tractor stocks while working on a ranch.10:59–15:09 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Risk Arbitrage and Mentorship Under Bob Rubin Ted guides Tom through his time at Goldman Sachs in risk arbitrage. Tom shares core risk management lessons learned from Bob Rubin, emphasizing discipline and avoiding unnecessary complexity.15:13–17:41 · Ted as informed peer 3/10 Leaving Goldman Sachs and Launching Farallon Capital Ted inquires about the leap from Goldman Sachs to founding Farallon. Tom details the financial rationale and the firm pushback from Goldman leadership when he departed.17:47–21:12 · Ted as informed peer 5/10 Strategy Evolution and Global Scaling at Farallon Ted recalls Farallon's early team setup around a single table. Tom clarifies the structural differences between macro funds and absolute return arbitrage, explaining why scaling globally required specialized local teams.21:19–24:25 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Hiring for Character and Navigating Market Crises Ted asks about Farallon's most difficult operational tests. Tom shares how exogenous shocks like the 1986 Ivan Boesky scandal and the 1987 crash taught him the necessity of extreme integrity and risk management.24:26–28:52 · Ted as informed peer 5/10 Organizational Growth and Leadership Succession at Farallon Ted asks how Tom engineered a clean leadership transition at Farallon. Tom outlines the limitations of informal management at scale and explains his deliberate eight-year handover to Andrew Spokes.28:57–34:06 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Post-Farallon Environmental Focus and Coalition Building Ted explores Tom's post-retirement shift to climate work. Tom explains how he built nonpartisan coalitions with figures like George Shultz and Hank Paulson to frame climate action in economic terms.34:12–37:33 · Ted as informed peer 3/10 Running for President and Engaging the American Public Ted asks about Tom's 2020 presidential run. Tom counters conventional complaints about the grueling nature of campaigning, describing the experience as energizing and deeply educational.37:39–41:32 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Founding Galvanize Climate Solutions and the Investment Case Ted probes the thesis behind founding Galvanize. Tom compares the transition to the 1990s internet boom, asserting that every modern company will inevitably become a climate company.41:34–48:06 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Sponsor Message: Ridgeline Investment Management Platform Following an ad break, Ted suggests the war in Ukraine demonstrated the impossibility of quickly shutting off fossil fuels. Tom immediately rejects this premise, schooling Ted on European gas pricing dynamics and accelerated decarbonization.48:13–51:24 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Spectrum of Climate Solutions and Technological Horizons Ted asks about capital allocation across technological horizons. Tom outlines the commercial differences between immediate-retrofit technologies, near-term cost crossovers, and long-term bets like nuclear fusion.51:36–58:38 · Ted as informed peer 6/10 Multi-Asset Strategies and Emerging Markets Decarbonization Ted challenges Tom on why Galvanize is not pursuing global infrastructure despite immense developing-world demand. Tom playfully teases Ted's institutional background while stressing that entering new asset classes requires world-class specialized teams.58:44–1:03:23 · Ted as informed peer 6/10 Generating Alpha, Assessing Teams, and Core Investment Truths Ted draws comparisons between current macro inflation and the 1970s Farallon playbook. Tom argues that macro beta fluctuations are secondary to identifying structural alpha and adaptable management teams.1:03:29–1:08:18 · Ted as informed peer 5/10 LP Engagement, Invest vs. Divest, and Regenerative Agriculture Ted asks about LP demand and the shift from zero-sum hedge fund trading to positive-sum climate impact. Tom insists his competitive drive for top-tier returns is unchanged and advocates investing over simple fossil fuel divestment.7:34–10:53 · Guest teaching 3/10 Early Career and Developing the Investor Mindset Ted prompts Tom to reflect on his formative investment mindset. Tom explains his intuitive approach to investing at a young age, including buying tractor stocks while working on a ranch.10:59–15:09 · Guest teaching 4/10 Risk Arbitrage and Mentorship Under Bob Rubin Ted guides Tom through his time at Goldman Sachs in risk arbitrage. Tom shares core risk management lessons learned from Bob Rubin, emphasizing discipline and avoiding unnecessary complexity.15:13–17:41 · Guest teaching 3/10 Leaving Goldman Sachs and Launching Farallon Capital Ted inquires about the leap from Goldman Sachs to founding Farallon. Tom details the financial rationale and the firm pushback from Goldman leadership when he departed.17:47–21:12 · Guest teaching 3/10 Strategy Evolution and Global Scaling at Farallon Ted recalls Farallon's early team setup around a single table. Tom clarifies the structural differences between macro funds and absolute return arbitrage, explaining why scaling globally required specialized local teams.21:19–24:25 · Guest teaching 4/10 Hiring for Character and Navigating Market Crises Ted asks about Farallon's most difficult operational tests. Tom shares how exogenous shocks like the 1986 Ivan Boesky scandal and the 1987 crash taught him the necessity of extreme integrity and risk management.24:26–28:52 · Guest teaching 3/10 Organizational Growth and Leadership Succession at Farallon Ted asks how Tom engineered a clean leadership transition at Farallon. Tom outlines the limitations of informal management at scale and explains his deliberate eight-year handover to Andrew Spokes.28:57–34:06 · Guest teaching 4/10 Post-Farallon Environmental Focus and Coalition Building Ted explores Tom's post-retirement shift to climate work. Tom explains how he built nonpartisan coalitions with figures like George Shultz and Hank Paulson to frame climate action in economic terms.34:12–37:33 · Guest teaching 3/10 Running for President and Engaging the American Public Ted asks about Tom's 2020 presidential run. Tom counters conventional complaints about the grueling nature of campaigning, describing the experience as energizing and deeply educational.37:39–41:32 · Guest teaching 4/10 Founding Galvanize Climate Solutions and the Investment Case Ted probes the thesis behind founding Galvanize. Tom compares the transition to the 1990s internet boom, asserting that every modern company will inevitably become a climate company.41:34–48:06 · Guest teaching 7/10 Sponsor Message: Ridgeline Investment Management Platform Following an ad break, Ted suggests the war in Ukraine demonstrated the impossibility of quickly shutting off fossil fuels. Tom immediately rejects this premise, schooling Ted on European gas pricing dynamics and accelerated decarbonization.48:13–51:24 · Guest teaching 4/10 Spectrum of Climate Solutions and Technological Horizons Ted asks about capital allocation across technological horizons. Tom outlines the commercial differences between immediate-retrofit technologies, near-term cost crossovers, and long-term bets like nuclear fusion.51:36–58:38 · Guest teaching 5/10 Multi-Asset Strategies and Emerging Markets Decarbonization Ted challenges Tom on why Galvanize is not pursuing global infrastructure despite immense developing-world demand. Tom playfully teases Ted's institutional background while stressing that entering new asset classes requires world-class specialized teams.58:44–1:03:23 · Guest teaching 4/10 Generating Alpha, Assessing Teams, and Core Investment Truths Ted draws comparisons between current macro inflation and the 1970s Farallon playbook. Tom argues that macro beta fluctuations are secondary to identifying structural alpha and adaptable management teams.1:03:29–1:08:18 · Guest teaching 4/10 LP Engagement, Invest vs. Divest, and Regenerative Agriculture Ted asks about LP demand and the shift from zero-sum hedge fund trading to positive-sum climate impact. Tom insists his competitive drive for top-tier returns is unchanged and advocates investing over simple fossil fuel divestment.7:34–10:53 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Early Career and Developing the Investor Mindset Ted prompts Tom to reflect on his formative investment mindset. Tom explains his intuitive approach to investing at a young age, including buying tractor stocks while working on a ranch.10:59–15:09 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Risk Arbitrage and Mentorship Under Bob Rubin Ted guides Tom through his time at Goldman Sachs in risk arbitrage. Tom shares core risk management lessons learned from Bob Rubin, emphasizing discipline and avoiding unnecessary complexity.15:13–17:41 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Leaving Goldman Sachs and Launching Farallon Capital Ted inquires about the leap from Goldman Sachs to founding Farallon. Tom details the financial rationale and the firm pushback from Goldman leadership when he departed.17:47–21:12 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Strategy Evolution and Global Scaling at Farallon Ted recalls Farallon's early team setup around a single table. Tom clarifies the structural differences between macro funds and absolute return arbitrage, explaining why scaling globally required specialized local teams.21:19–24:25 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Hiring for Character and Navigating Market Crises Ted asks about Farallon's most difficult operational tests. Tom shares how exogenous shocks like the 1986 Ivan Boesky scandal and the 1987 crash taught him the necessity of extreme integrity and risk management.24:26–28:52 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Organizational Growth and Leadership Succession at Farallon Ted asks how Tom engineered a clean leadership transition at Farallon. Tom outlines the limitations of informal management at scale and explains his deliberate eight-year handover to Andrew Spokes.28:57–34:06 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Post-Farallon Environmental Focus and Coalition Building Ted explores Tom's post-retirement shift to climate work. Tom explains how he built nonpartisan coalitions with figures like George Shultz and Hank Paulson to frame climate action in economic terms.34:12–37:33 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Running for President and Engaging the American Public Ted asks about Tom's 2020 presidential run. Tom counters conventional complaints about the grueling nature of campaigning, describing the experience as energizing and deeply educational.37:39–41:32 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Founding Galvanize Climate Solutions and the Investment Case Ted probes the thesis behind founding Galvanize. Tom compares the transition to the 1990s internet boom, asserting that every modern company will inevitably become a climate company.41:34–48:06 · Guest disagreement 6/10 Sponsor Message: Ridgeline Investment Management Platform Following an ad break, Ted suggests the war in Ukraine demonstrated the impossibility of quickly shutting off fossil fuels. Tom immediately rejects this premise, schooling Ted on European gas pricing dynamics and accelerated decarbonization.48:13–51:24 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Spectrum of Climate Solutions and Technological Horizons Ted asks about capital allocation across technological horizons. Tom outlines the commercial differences between immediate-retrofit technologies, near-term cost crossovers, and long-term bets like nuclear fusion.51:36–58:38 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Multi-Asset Strategies and Emerging Markets Decarbonization Ted challenges Tom on why Galvanize is not pursuing global infrastructure despite immense developing-world demand. Tom playfully teases Ted's institutional background while stressing that entering new asset classes requires world-class specialized teams.58:44–1:03:23 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Generating Alpha, Assessing Teams, and Core Investment Truths Ted draws comparisons between current macro inflation and the 1970s Farallon playbook. Tom argues that macro beta fluctuations are secondary to identifying structural alpha and adaptable management teams.1:03:29–1:08:18 · Guest disagreement 3/10 LP Engagement, Invest vs. Divest, and Regenerative Agriculture Ted asks about LP demand and the shift from zero-sum hedge fund trading to positive-sum climate impact. Tom insists his competitive drive for top-tier returns is unchanged and advocates investing over simple fossil fuel divestment.7:34–10:53 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Early Career and Developing the Investor Mindset Ted prompts Tom to reflect on his formative investment mindset. Tom explains his intuitive approach to investing at a young age, including buying tractor stocks while working on a ranch.10:59–15:09 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Risk Arbitrage and Mentorship Under Bob Rubin Ted guides Tom through his time at Goldman Sachs in risk arbitrage. Tom shares core risk management lessons learned from Bob Rubin, emphasizing discipline and avoiding unnecessary complexity.15:13–17:41 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Leaving Goldman Sachs and Launching Farallon Capital Ted inquires about the leap from Goldman Sachs to founding Farallon. Tom details the financial rationale and the firm pushback from Goldman leadership when he departed.17:47–21:12 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Strategy Evolution and Global Scaling at Farallon Ted recalls Farallon's early team setup around a single table. Tom clarifies the structural differences between macro funds and absolute return arbitrage, explaining why scaling globally required specialized local teams.21:19–24:25 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Hiring for Character and Navigating Market Crises Ted asks about Farallon's most difficult operational tests. Tom shares how exogenous shocks like the 1986 Ivan Boesky scandal and the 1987 crash taught him the necessity of extreme integrity and risk management.24:26–28:52 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Organizational Growth and Leadership Succession at Farallon Ted asks how Tom engineered a clean leadership transition at Farallon. Tom outlines the limitations of informal management at scale and explains his deliberate eight-year handover to Andrew Spokes.28:57–34:06 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Post-Farallon Environmental Focus and Coalition Building Ted explores Tom's post-retirement shift to climate work. Tom explains how he built nonpartisan coalitions with figures like George Shultz and Hank Paulson to frame climate action in economic terms.34:12–37:33 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Running for President and Engaging the American Public Ted asks about Tom's 2020 presidential run. Tom counters conventional complaints about the grueling nature of campaigning, describing the experience as energizing and deeply educational.37:39–41:32 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Founding Galvanize Climate Solutions and the Investment Case Ted probes the thesis behind founding Galvanize. Tom compares the transition to the 1990s internet boom, asserting that every modern company will inevitably become a climate company.41:34–48:06 · Ted pushing back 3/10 Sponsor Message: Ridgeline Investment Management Platform Following an ad break, Ted suggests the war in Ukraine demonstrated the impossibility of quickly shutting off fossil fuels. Tom immediately rejects this premise, schooling Ted on European gas pricing dynamics and accelerated decarbonization.48:13–51:24 · Ted pushing back 1/10 Spectrum of Climate Solutions and Technological Horizons Ted asks about capital allocation across technological horizons. Tom outlines the commercial differences between immediate-retrofit technologies, near-term cost crossovers, and long-term bets like nuclear fusion.51:36–58:38 · Ted pushing back 5/10 Multi-Asset Strategies and Emerging Markets Decarbonization Ted challenges Tom on why Galvanize is not pursuing global infrastructure despite immense developing-world demand. Tom playfully teases Ted's institutional background while stressing that entering new asset classes requires world-class specialized teams.58:44–1:03:23 · Ted pushing back 2/10 Generating Alpha, Assessing Teams, and Core Investment Truths Ted draws comparisons between current macro inflation and the 1970s Farallon playbook. Tom argues that macro beta fluctuations are secondary to identifying structural alpha and adaptable management teams.1:03:29–1:08:18 · Ted pushing back 2/10 LP Engagement, Invest vs. Divest, and Regenerative Agriculture Ted asks about LP demand and the shift from zero-sum hedge fund trading to positive-sum climate impact. Tom insists his competitive drive for top-tier returns is unchanged and advocates investing over simple fossil fuel divestment.

speaking balance: gold is Ted, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Ted 100% · guest 0%0:00 · Ted 100% · guest 0%3:00 · Ted 100% · guest 0%3:00 · Ted 100% · guest 0%6:00 · Ted 63.7% · guest 36.3%6:00 · Ted 63.7% · guest 36.3%9:00 · Ted 2.6% · guest 97.4%9:00 · Ted 2.6% · guest 97.4%12:00 · Ted 4.4% · guest 95.6%12:00 · Ted 4.4% · guest 95.6%15:00 · Ted 11.6% · guest 88.4%15:00 · Ted 11.6% · guest 88.4%18:00 · Ted 6.9% · guest 93.1%18:00 · Ted 6.9% · guest 93.1%21:00 · Ted 12.9% · guest 87.1%21:00 · Ted 12.9% · guest 87.1%24:00 · Ted 11.3% · guest 88.7%24:00 · Ted 11.3% · guest 88.7%27:00 · Ted 11.4% · guest 88.6%27:00 · Ted 11.4% · guest 88.6%30:00 · Ted 7.3% · guest 92.7%30:00 · Ted 7.3% · guest 92.7%33:00 · Ted 7.6% · guest 92.4%33:00 · Ted 7.6% · guest 92.4%36:00 · Ted 8% · guest 92%36:00 · Ted 8% · guest 92%39:00 · Ted 29.4% · guest 70.6%39:00 · Ted 29.4% · guest 70.6%42:00 · Ted 31% · guest 69%42:00 · Ted 31% · guest 69%45:00 · Ted 0% · guest 100%45:00 · Ted 0% · guest 100%48:00 · Ted 5.5% · guest 94.5%48:00 · Ted 5.5% · guest 94.5%51:00 · Ted 5.6% · guest 94.4%51:00 · Ted 5.6% · guest 94.4%54:00 · Ted 1.3% · guest 98.7%54:00 · Ted 1.3% · guest 98.7%57:00 · Ted 14.4% · guest 85.6%57:00 · Ted 14.4% · guest 85.6%1:00:00 · Ted 18% · guest 82%1:00:00 · Ted 18% · guest 82%1:03:00 · Ted 7.6% · guest 92.4%1:03:00 · Ted 7.6% · guest 92.4%1:06:00 · Ted 23.9% · guest 76.1%1:06:00 · Ted 23.9% · guest 76.1%1:09:00 · Ted 5% · guest 95%1:09:00 · Ted 5% · guest 95%1:12:00 · Ted 4.9% · guest 95.1%1:12:00 · Ted 4.9% · guest 95.1%1:15:00 · Ted 30% · guest 70%1:15:00 · Ted 30% · guest 70%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 42:56 Direct rejection of the host's Ukraine energy premise

Tom immediately and forcefully disputes Ted's framing regarding energy security, stating directly that the lesson people draw from the war in Ukraine is not the one Ted described.

Hardest push from Ted ▶ 56:57 Host challenges lack of infrastructure investing

Ted directly challenges Tom's decision to bypass emerging market infrastructure despite the massive decarbonization demand Tom previously laid out.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 43:26 Deep dive into regional natural gas transport economics

Tom educates the host on the illiquidity and pipeline dependence of regional natural gas markets compared to oil, showing how high prices accelerated Europe's transition.

Ted holds their own ▶ 58:39 Host connects historical 1970s stagflation to current strategy

Ted showcases his deep allocator background by asking a sharp, technically grounded question on separating macro beta from idiosyncratic alpha during inflationary regimes.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicTed as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementTed pushing backWhy
Early Career and Developing the Investor Mindset 4311 Ted prompts Tom to reflect on his formative investment mindset. Tom explains his intuitive approach to investing at a young age, including buying tractor stocks while working on a ranch.
Risk Arbitrage and Mentorship Under Bob Rubin 4411 Ted guides Tom through his time at Goldman Sachs in risk arbitrage. Tom shares core risk management lessons learned from Bob Rubin, emphasizing discipline and avoiding unnecessary complexity.
Leaving Goldman Sachs and Launching Farallon Capital 3321 Ted inquires about the leap from Goldman Sachs to founding Farallon. Tom details the financial rationale and the firm pushback from Goldman leadership when he departed.
Strategy Evolution and Global Scaling at Farallon 5321 Ted recalls Farallon's early team setup around a single table. Tom clarifies the structural differences between macro funds and absolute return arbitrage, explaining why scaling globally required specialized local teams.
Hiring for Character and Navigating Market Crises 4411 Ted asks about Farallon's most difficult operational tests. Tom shares how exogenous shocks like the 1986 Ivan Boesky scandal and the 1987 crash taught him the necessity of extreme integrity and risk management.
Organizational Growth and Leadership Succession at Farallon 5311 Ted asks how Tom engineered a clean leadership transition at Farallon. Tom outlines the limitations of informal management at scale and explains his deliberate eight-year handover to Andrew Spokes.
Post-Farallon Environmental Focus and Coalition Building 4421 Ted explores Tom's post-retirement shift to climate work. Tom explains how he built nonpartisan coalitions with figures like George Shultz and Hank Paulson to frame climate action in economic terms.
Running for President and Engaging the American Public 3321 Ted asks about Tom's 2020 presidential run. Tom counters conventional complaints about the grueling nature of campaigning, describing the experience as energizing and deeply educational.
Founding Galvanize Climate Solutions and the Investment Case 4421 Ted probes the thesis behind founding Galvanize. Tom compares the transition to the 1990s internet boom, asserting that every modern company will inevitably become a climate company.
Sponsor Message: Ridgeline Investment Management Platform 4763 Following an ad break, Ted suggests the war in Ukraine demonstrated the impossibility of quickly shutting off fossil fuels. Tom immediately rejects this premise, schooling Ted on European gas pricing dynamics and accelerated decarbonization.
Spectrum of Climate Solutions and Technological Horizons 4411 Ted asks about capital allocation across technological horizons. Tom outlines the commercial differences between immediate-retrofit technologies, near-term cost crossovers, and long-term bets like nuclear fusion.
Multi-Asset Strategies and Emerging Markets Decarbonization 6545 Ted challenges Tom on why Galvanize is not pursuing global infrastructure despite immense developing-world demand. Tom playfully teases Ted's institutional background while stressing that entering new asset classes requires world-class specialized teams.
Generating Alpha, Assessing Teams, and Core Investment Truths 6422 Ted draws comparisons between current macro inflation and the 1970s Farallon playbook. Tom argues that macro beta fluctuations are secondary to identifying structural alpha and adaptable management teams.
LP Engagement, Invest vs. Divest, and Regenerative Agriculture 5432 Ted asks about LP demand and the shift from zero-sum hedge fund trading to positive-sum climate impact. Tom insists his competitive drive for top-tier returns is unchanged and advocates investing over simple fossil fuel divestment.

Statements from this episode (23)

Insight
Steyer: Ranches exist to generate profits for John Deere, not ranchers
“These ranches are not businesses. They live, as far as I can tell, to buy equipment from John Deere, an international harvester, and I would like to buy stock. In John Deere and International Harvester, because it's very clear to me about who's making all the …”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 9:12
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Steyer: Goldman's risk arb desk was profitable every year in the 1970s
“But the Goldman Arb group managed to make money every year through the seventies.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 11:42
Insight
Steyer: Investors do not get paid for degree of difficulty
“In investing, you don't get paid for degree of difficulty. Making a straightforward good investment that you have high confidences is good. You don't have to do the triple flip half gainer in investing to make a good decision. You can make a simple decision. D…”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 14:46
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steyer managed half of Goldman's risk arb but earned 0.1% of profits
“My last year at Goldman Sachs, just to put it in a context of investment, I was running half of the investments for the art group. They paid me one 10th of one percent of the income from the art group.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 16:39
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steyer: Hellman & Friedman backed Farallon launch with $8M seed commitment
“When I asked two different people if they would basically back me with limited partner money, one of them was a firm in San Francisco where the number three person was my old roommate. It's called Hellman and Friedman, and I think they guaranteed me eight mill…”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 17:11
Assertion Supported
Steyer: Goldman Sachs had zero China staff and two in Hong Kong in 1983-1985
“Goldman Sachs, which was, as I said, I think the premier investment bank in the world, when I worked there in 1983 to 1985, had zero people in China and two people in Hong Kong.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 20:01
Insight
Steyer: Mediocre hires cannot be trained into performing excellent work
“You can't fake excellence. If you're going to hire somebody, if they're not excellent coming in, they're not going to do an excellent job. That is an overwhelming fact of life, and that is something that I'm not sure everybody believes right now, but that is s…”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 21:19
Insight
Steyer: Organizations over 125 people cannot be managed informally
“If you get beyond a 125 people, you really can't manage informally. You have to have systems and processes and hierarchies and rules.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 26:13
Assertion Partly supported
Steyer telegraphed Farallon Capital's leadership succession eight years in advance
“One is I was very clear for years before I left at the end of 2012 that the person who was going to take over was Andrew Spokes. And so that was no surprise to anybody. I said it for eight years beforehand.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 27:45
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Steyer: The US is not going to adopt single-payer healthcare
“The key issue in this primary campaign seems to be whether we're going to have single payer healthcare, which anyone with a brain in their head knows we're not going to have single payer healthcare.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 34:46
Opinion
Steyer: Running for president is not grueling, just get a real job
“People always say it's so grueling. I was like, really? You think this is grueling? Get a job. It's not grueling. It's super fun.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 35:18
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Steyer: Every company, even ExxonMobil, will eventually become a climate company
“Every company, Exxon, is going to be a climate company. No question about it.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 40:40
Prediction Held up
Steyer predicts long-term energy storage systems will be viable by 2033
“Over the next 10 years, we'll have storage systems that enable us to do long-term storage”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 47:21
Assertion Supported
Steyer: Americans Recycle Only 6% of Plastics as Consumption Explodes
“Even though we recycle only six percent of our plastics, the use of plastics is exploding.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 49:02
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Steyer: Siting and construction delays mean nuclear fusion won't impact until 2040
“And I think people feel as if they can break through on the engineering in the next 10 years, then that would have real impact, because then you have to site, build, plants. That takes a really long time. I'm sure there'd be a lot of pressure to do it faster. …”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 50:53
Insight
Steyer: Real estate retrofits require proving owners will be richer by retrofitting
“For it to really happen, you have to be able to prove that you're going to be richer if you do the retrofit than if you don't do the retrofit”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 53:33
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2050
Steyer: India will generate five times more electricity in 2050 than today
“If you look at India, they're going to have five times as much electricity in 20 50 as they have now.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 55:14
Assertion Partly supported
Steyer: Only 10% of DRC's 100 million people have access to electricity
“I think the DRC has about a hundred million people, the Democratic Republic of Congo, 10% of those people have access to electricity.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 55:30
Assertion Supported
Steyer: Diesel generator power costs 10 times more per kWh than solar
“A diesel generator, which of course was fossil fuel, and it also emits a lot of not particularly healthful emissions from burning the diesel, but also is obviously a big emitter of CO₂, costs 10 times as much per kilowatt hour as solar.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 55:49
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steyer: 10% of US wealth clients request ESG versus 90% in Europe
“In the United States, if you talk to the huge asset gatherers, the Black Rocks, the Goldmans, if they get a new investment client, so they come in and they're going to have an investment advisor, and they're going to allocate their portfolio, 10% of them want …”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 1:05:18
Opinion
Steyer: The climate crisis requires profitable transition investments, not fossil fuel divestment
“This is not the time for divest. This is the time for invest. The answer here is Making profitable investments in the transition to make it happen faster and to ride the wave of demand that is that transition.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 1:06:01
Disclosure
Steyer discloses family regenerative cattle ranch designed to net sequester carbon
“Our family has a regenerative cattle ranch. We wanted to prove you could raise cattle in a way that net sequesters carbon.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 1:07:36
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steyer: Farallon eventually became Goldman Sachs's largest clearing client
“And then over time, I was Goldman's biggest clearing customer.”
Tom Steyer Mar 6, 2023 ▶ 1:12:44
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