The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Enterprises will eventually buy all software and AI from a single provider
“So that goes along with our thesis of convergence of software, that software will converge ultimately given a long enough period of time. All of your software will be provided by one software provider. I believe one AI provider also.”
Zeb Evans Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 14:11 How Business Software Transforms In The Age Of AI — With Zeb Evans
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI chat providers must build core productivity primitives themselves
“Every AI chat experience will need core primitives, and what we refer to primitives are things like a doc, slides, spreadsheet, kind of database and of course, attachments and files, and those things will need to be built by the AI chat providers themselves, a…”
Zeb Evans Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 1:52 How Business Software Transforms In The Age Of AI — With Zeb Evans
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI labs will struggle to break into B2B enterprise collaboration software
“I think also that the AI labs will struggle cracking into B to B, especially with collaboration.”
Zeb Evans Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 16:17 How Business Software Transforms In The Age Of AI — With Zeb Evans
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Software vendors will increasingly cut off third-party API access in data wars
“I think you're going to end up like waking up every day and, you know, I think you'll see another headline of this company cut off this access to this access and you're using, you know, your tool that you thought you were using to control everything connected …”
Zeb Evans Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 29:09 How Business Software Transforms In The Age Of AI — With Zeb Evans
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Single-feature software businesses are in trouble for sure
“And I do think that software businesses that have a very simple product offering are in trouble for sure.”
Zeb Evans Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 13:39 How Business Software Transforms In The Age Of AI — With Zeb Evans
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