The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

3statements match

3resolved → 0open claims → 1supported → 2contradicted →

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Doshi: Search engine traffic will drop over 25% before 2026

“I mean, I think there's a very high probability it is greater than that number in a shorter span of time.”

Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 44:38 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Doshi: GPT-5 is probably slated for release in 2024

“GPT five is probably slated imminently this year.”

Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 45:11 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi

Assertion Supported

Doshi: NVIDIA H100 is 1.9x faster but 2x costlier

“One of the problems with NVIDIA was that they released their H 100, but they didn't really reduce its cost. You know, it is, it's two is, you know, 1.9 X faster, but two X costlier.”

Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 51:37 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi

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The Ledger

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