The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Doshi: Image AI is probably a couple years behind a GPT-4 moment
“Images is interesting because it's probably a couple years behind a GPT-IV true moment, right?”
Doshi: Robotics research hit a ceiling around 2020 and hasn't recovered
“Broadly robotics kind of asymptoted and hit a ceiling. About like three or four years ago, and the research still isn't like kind of on a trajectory. That's amazing.”
Doshi: Debate over whether AI truly understands physics is practically irrelevant
“I take the argument that it doesn't, I just like, I don't think it matters. Like at the end of the day, we are making these models could do it or could not, but either way, what matters is what utility it brings to humanity.”
Doshi: Google's bureaucracy is ill-suited for AI's rapid velocity
“And they have to contend with a significant complex bureaucracy that is not really well attuned for the velocity that AI is running at right now.”
Doshi: Sam Altman only cares about AGI, treating video as stepping stones
“I think that Sam is genuinely focused on AGI and attaining that. And I think he does not care about Graphics and, you know, video necessarily. I think he, those are stepping stones and that helps research you know, get to the next point, but I think he is very…”
Doshi: Institutional media incentives drive bad tech coverage, not individual reporters
“It's not that we think they're bad. It's that we think that their institutions are bad and their institutions create incentives that create bad situations.”
Doshi: Meta has one of the world's best graphics teams
“I think one thing that Meta is doing, regardless of where VR is headed or AR is headed, is they have one of the most world-class teams for graphics, and they have to because of all the stuff that they're doing in VR.”
Doshi: Apple Is Well Positioned to Copy Google's Best AI Experiments
“And I think Apple is super well positioned to just like let Google do all those experiments and then just pluck the ones that are the best ones and use its massive install base and distribution power to deliver an amazing experience, not a rushed rushed one.”
Doshi: Satya Nadella is brilliantly bringing all AI models onto Azure
“If you observe very carefully, he is actually partnering with everybody. He is bringing all the models into Azure, right? And he's doing it very methodically, and I think that he is really setting up Azure to be to leap and be a lot more competitive.”