The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Insight
Adler: Recursive AI Improvement Requires Automating Research, Not Just Coding
“That's one step, but then you need to take that engineering and use it to actually automate the AI research. You need to go from being able to implement the ideas more quickly to using that to fuel faster and faster growth in the breakthrough ideas themselves …”
Steven Adler Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 7:05 Is Something Big Happening?, AI Safety Apocalypse, Anthropic Raises $30 Billion
Insight
Adler: AI alignment cannot reliably encode human values into systems
“And the fundamental problem that we're seeing is we don't know how to take our values or our goals and encode them into these AI systems and get them to pursue it reliably.”
Steven Adler Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 19:00 Is Something Big Happening?, AI Safety Apocalypse, Anthropic Raises $30 Billion
Insight
Adler: Self-Enforced AI Safety Pledges Inevitably Get Watered Down for Launches
“At a high level, the big AI companies have made these safety pledges of how they will treat their systems as they get more and more capable, but they are largely self-enforced. And so there's a lot of temptation to water down your commitments and go ahead with…”
Steven Adler Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 33:11 Is Something Big Happening?, AI Safety Apocalypse, Anthropic Raises $30 Billion
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