why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Xanthos: AI will primarily drive software development within one year
“I do believe that, you know, we are probably a year away from AI becoming the driver of software, the same way, let's say, agents are the primary producer of code today. I think we're going to move to the same place in a year from now, where humans are going t…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Xanthos: AI will make most engineering decisions in two to three years
“Still overseeing that AI, making most of the final decisions, but I think probably in two to three years, we're going to be at the place where AI is going to be making most of these decisions, and humans will be delegating, let's say, however, maybe decision f…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Xanthos: Domain-specialized AI models will ultimately outperform general horizontal models
“I do think we're going to end up in a situation where the most capable model in a domain is going to be a specialized model.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Xanthos: AI will not result in fewer software engineers
“I think by us producing more technology, I don't think the end state here is going to look something like where we have fewer software engineers”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Xanthos: Agentic AI will expand across business processes in 2026
“And I think what we will start to seeing now in 20, 26, that paradigm is going to show up in other parts of software and in other industries where they see the customer service and a lot of other business process automation.”