The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Enjeti: A Future Democratic Administration Will Cancel Musk's Federal Contracts
“Yeah, if you're whoever, if you're Gavin Newsom administration, you're done. Like, it's, I'm gonna use the exact executive order precedent, and all of those contracts are getting canceled.”
Saagar Enjeti Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 15:44 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Prediction Held up
Enjeti predicts Trump will win 2024 presidential election if not indicted
“Yes to run, win. If he doesn't get indicted, I think he'll probably win.”
Saagar Enjeti Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 47:09 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Held up
Enjeti predicts McCarthy will cave to establishment and pass Ukraine aid
“Kevin McCarthy has said that he won't pass any more aid to Ukraine. In my opinion, he will absolutely fall to the blob and will 100% do that.”
Saagar Enjeti Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 36:48 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Enjeti predicts Republicans will win exactly 53 Senate seats in 2022
“It's easy. 53 seats in the Senate for Republicans. I think they sweep and win every single contestable one, including the Nevada.”
Saagar Enjeti Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 42:21 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Enjeti: Trump's Second Term Will Be Viewed as the AI Presidency
“I think that in the long term, we may view the Trump years at the second administration as the AI presidency in terms of the way that our economy and our life and all of that were transformed.”
Saagar Enjeti Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 28:24 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Enjeti: Autonomous driving will not be solved anytime soon
“On the one hand, you know, for years, everyone keeps telling me we're going to conquer driving, we're going to conquer driving. I'm like, no, you're not. It's just literally not going to happen anytime soon.”
Saagar Enjeti Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 40:45 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Enjeti: Biden administration will not ban TikTok due to youth backlash
“I don't think the Biden administration is the balls to ban it. I really just don't. I mean, everything that I've seen you know, they did the Huawei thing. That's cute. Everybody knows Huawei is a Chinese spy operation. I just don't think that they're willing t…”
Saagar Enjeti Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 53:15 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2030
Enjeti: US Will Enforce Much Tighter Export Controls on AI
“So we're going to see literal walls begin to go up, much tighter export control, a recognition that these companies and this technology is vital and of interest.”
Saagar Enjeti Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 31:42 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Enjeti predicts Elon Musk will keep Chinese state media labels on Twitter
“And so, on the Chinese thing, I just think it would be so insane for him to remove those labels that he, I don't think that he would do that.”
Saagar Enjeti Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 51:16 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
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