The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 23 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Diamandis: Smarter AI systems naturally become more benevolent and supportive
“Truly believe that as systems become more and more intelligent, they get more abundant minded, more loving of life more supportive.”
Diamandis: Advanced AI transformation will occur within two to five years
“This isn't playing out in your kid's lifetime or in 10 years, this is playing out in the next two to five years.”
Diamandis: AI Programming AI Will Trigger Near-Immediate Liftoff
“As soon as we have, you know, AI programming, AI Then liftoff occurs, you know, near, near immediately.”
Diamandis: AI Passed the Turing Test Months or Years Ago
“There was the Turing test of, you know, which got passed some months or years back without even being noticed. Because you can't tell the difference now in having a chat with a lot of the chat bots, whether they're human or not.”
Diamandis: Quantum Computing Will Come Online in the Late 2020s
“And then you've got quantum coming online second half of this decade.”
Diamandis: AI Will Become the Best Free Educator and Diagnostician Globally
“I think AI will become ultimately the best educator on the planet and the best diagnostician on the planet available on your mobile phone. And I think that educator Again, the best on the planet will be available for free to the poorest child and the wealthies…”
Diamandis: Elon Musk will become the world's first trillionaire
“Elon will be the first trillionaire out there.”
Diamandis: Elon Musk's ambitious ventures make him extraordinarily net-positive for humanity
“I think he's a thousand X better for humanity and the things that he's taking on the world's a better place because he's here investing his brilliance and his mind.”
Diamandis: AI and longevity are the planet's two biggest business opportunities
“AI and longevity are the two biggest business opportunities on the planet. There's nothing of greater opportunity, right?”
Diamandis: Longevity Escape Velocity Will Be Reached in About 20 Years
“Ray Kurzweil's prediction is 2030, which is insanely close, right? Why? It's because AI is going to help us understand why we age, how to slow it, how to stop it, how to reverse it. George Church puts it at some 15 years out. David Sinclair is in that same are…”
Diamandis: Anti-aging gene therapies will become cheap and globally accessible
“Yes, in the beginning when it doesn't work so well, it'll be paid for by the wealthiest and it'll be expensive. And then as it goes into production, it will be available for everybody. It will work extraordinarily well and it'll be cheap.”
Diamandis: Global population will peak around 9 to 9.5 billion before dropping rapidly
“And if you've got a massive underpopulation, right, we peak at nine, nine and a half billion and have a very rapid drop off.”
Diamandis: AI will become up to a billion times more powerful than humans
“It's going to continue to increase, and there's no reason to believe it's not going to get a hundred times or a thousand times or a million or a billion times more powerful than the average human.”
Diamandis: Human misuse, not AI itself, poses dystopian threat
“I don't think AI on its own is going to be dystopian. I think it's the human use of AI that could be dystopian.”
Diamandis: No single company will control superintelligent AI
“Ultimately, I believe that it is going to need to be decentralized and democratized. And I don't believe that we're going to have one central company control this.”
Diamandis: X will become a bank, wallet, and crypto platform
“And X now, X.com will become not only a platform for communications and for conversations like this. It'll become a bank. It'll become, you know, wallets. It'll become crypto. It'll become all of those things.”
Diamandis: AI will model cells, organs, and people for personalized medicine
“And what we're going next is the ability to model your cell in AI and then your tissue and then your organ and then you And no, this drug works for you, and this drug does not work for you.”
Diamandis: Moderna and Pfizer mRNA vaccines cost two dollars each to make
“So our mRNA vaccines from Moderna or Pfizer were gene therapies and they cost two bucks each, right? They were sold for 20 bucks or whatever the case might be. So we know that you can mass produce gene therapies extraordinarily cheaply.”
Diamandis: Humanoid robotics and AI are the only solution to support aging populations
“I think the only countervailing force there is going to be humanoid robotics and AI that's going to allow us to support that aging population.”
Diamandis: AI Startups Require Unique Data and Market Relationships to Succeed
“When I tell people entrepreneurs, I say, listen, do you want to start an AI company? You need two things, unique data. And a relationship with a marketplace that you can offer to. So the AI is becoming democratized and demonetized. The data and the market and …”
Diamandis: People Measure Wellbeing Against Peers and Celebrities, Not Historical Progress
“One of the primary reasons is we judge ourselves against our neighbor. There is a There's a concept which all of us have in our minds, a 150 people that we consider our peers. And they are your friends. There are people you see on TV all the time. There are pe…”