The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Enterprise Generative AI Returns Will Take Significantly Longer Than Anticipated

“It's gonna take way more time than that. And that's been the case with every major tech revolution, whether it was search or desktop or mobile.”

Parmy Olson Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 19:56 Is OpenAI’s New “o1” Model The Big Step Forward We’ve Been Waiting For?

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Olson: Big tech can sustain heavy AI spending for years

“They can totally afford this, and they can afford to keep spending like this for the next few years at least.”

Parmy Olson Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 42:55 Is OpenAI’s New “o1” Model The Big Step Forward We’ve Been Waiting For?

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Olson: AI will be essential like email but hard to measure ROI

“It will become a really important component of making a business more productive, but it will be really hard to measure exactly how it does that in numbers.”

Parmy Olson Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 45:06 Is OpenAI’s New “o1” Model The Big Step Forward We’ve Been Waiting For?

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