why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Luckey: Reprojected AR is the only path to superhuman vision
“The Apple headset, it's a, you know, it's a re-projected virtual, it's a re-projected augmented reality headset, which by the way, I believe is the future. Without a doubt, it is the only path to better than human vision.”
Insight
Luckey: Cost-plus contracts incentivize defense contractors to maximize costs and delays
“Most companies in this space are defense contractors. They work on cost plus contracts where they get paid for their time and their materials, and then a fixed percentage of profit up to on top of that. Usually a very small percentage of profit. And so the onl…”
Insight
Luckey: Overwhelming military superiority is the best deterrent to war
“The best way to deter warfare is to have such an overwhelming advantage that there's no question as to the outcome.”
Insight
Luckey: Adversaries fear VTOL weapons, not runway-dependent drones
“They're not that afraid of, let's say, you know, Things like long range surveillance drones that have to operate off of 5000 foot runways, because they know they're gonna bomb those runways in the first day or the first week of the war. They're, what they're t…”
Insight
Luckey: Tech CEOs controlling defense tech distribution dangerously dictate US policy
“I think a very dangerous outcome of this idea of, kind of, tech CEOs deciding who has what, And how in the realm of defense technology is that you end up in a situation where you have mega corporate executives having de facto authority over US foreign and dome…”
Insight
Luckey: Bad human actors using AI are a greater threat than AGI
“I think at the end of the day, we don't need to be worried about the AI nearly as much as people using AI as a tool to enact totally human perversions on the rest of the world. It's going to be religious extremists who decide that they're going to use this to …”
Insight
Luckey: VR doesn't need touch or locomotion to achieve high utility
“And you don't have to simulate taste well or at all. You don't have to simulate touch well or at all. You don't have to simulate even locomotion well or at all. If there are compelling things you can do with just sight and sound. And remember, most of what we …”
Insight
Luckey: Perfect audiovisual VR replaces all business travel except handshakes
“The only thing that I would lose if I did that in VR with perfect vision and perfect audio is that handshake at the end.”