The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Winarski: Voice will not be the primary interface for AI
“I disagree that voice is going to be the primary way that we're going to interact with AR.”
Winarski: Text will remain a dominant AI interaction form for a long time
“Text is going to be a dominant form, and for a long time.”
Winarski: Foundation AI giants will never sufficiently focus on market verticals
“So from my point of view, I believe that these big companies will never try to focus sufficiently on the market verticals that will really make a huge difference to that particular market, and so the industry will flourish in each of these individual markets.”
Winarski: Users will stop interacting directly with standalone mobile app interfaces
“So I do think that everybody will have their own Application business, but I don't think we'll see it the same way as we do today with your iPhone or Android phone.”
Winarski: In five years, AI will yield vertical monopolies and novel cancer therapies
“Five years from now, we will, first of all, see major industries that have formed in each of these market verticals that are dominating those verticals. And we'll also have seen some incredible new science come out. Biotech with cancer treatments and discovery…”
Winarski: Real-time visual AI assistants are likely, but privacy risks loom
“So more and more this, your vision, what you just said is not only possible, but likely unless people have access to your information and start sending you ads every which way.”
Winarski: Next AI Wave Will Move Beyond Language to Brainwaves and Robotics
“So you, we're going to start seeing generations beyond text and language going into other new breakthroughs, and we're going to see the same impact in those ways.”
Winarski: Siri was created as a 'do engine', not a search engine
“When we first created Siri, our vision was very specific. It was a do engine. For, instead of a search engine. And what we meant by a do engine was Understand a person's intent, a request to do something. It always had to be a request to do something. Buy me a…”