The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arbaugh: Consumer products will require Neuralink compatibility to sell
“And so one day I think everything is gonna be, like, neural link compatible. Like, companies will have to put that in their product in order for it to sell. If it's not neural link compatible, people will be like, well, why, why are we even using this?”
Noland Arbaugh Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 41:45 Neuralink's First Patient Controls Computers With His Mind — With Noland Arbaugh
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arbaugh predicts esports leagues will ban or segregate Neuralink users
“I don't believe It will be allowed in like certain gaming platforms and things for like major league gaming. I think they're going to have to separate it. Either everyone's going to have to have one, or you're going to have to understand that other people have…”
Noland Arbaugh Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 32:12 Neuralink's First Patient Controls Computers With His Mind — With Noland Arbaugh
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arbaugh: People will get neural implants to surpass unenhanced human capabilities
“So it's not there yet, but I know that when this technology like really lands and they get everything figured out, yeah, it's, there, there's no doubt in my mind that people will want it in order to surpass, you know, what regulars are capable of.”
Noland Arbaugh Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 33:42 Neuralink's First Patient Controls Computers With His Mind — With Noland Arbaugh
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arbaugh Predicts He Will Die Before His Neuralink Chip Does
“I have seen The data and the study about it being in monkeys for long periods of time, and, you know, the stress testing that they do to these devices to see how long they'll last, I think that I will die before the Neuralink chip does.”
Noland Arbaugh Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 1:05:02 Neuralink's First Patient Controls Computers With His Mind — With Noland Arbaugh
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arbaugh: BCIs will let programmers directly input complex code and thoughts
“If you can do that with a letter, you can do it with a word. If you can do it with a word, you can do it with a sentence. You can do it with a sentence. Maybe you could do it with whole strings of sentences, of code, of like complex ideas. I don't think we're …”
Noland Arbaugh Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 51:19 Neuralink's First Patient Controls Computers With His Mind — With Noland Arbaugh
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arbaugh: Collective consciousness via neural interfaces is 50 to 100 years away
“I just think I'm excited to see where the technology goes, and that's like way down the road stuff. That's like, you know, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, a hundred years down the road stuff.”
Noland Arbaugh Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 1:00:14 Neuralink's First Patient Controls Computers With His Mind — With Noland Arbaugh
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arbaugh: Neuralink will be able to control all Bluetooth-enabled devices
“Basically every device that you can think of that uses Bluetooth You'll be able to control with the Neuralink.”
Noland Arbaugh Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 41:04 Neuralink's First Patient Controls Computers With His Mind — With Noland Arbaugh
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