The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Insight
Smith: Automating human tasks does not imply mass labor displacement
“Conceptually the idea of like, well, we made this thing to do all these tasks that humans do is not a, is not by itself a reason to think human labor is going to be masterplaced.”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 18:49 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Insight
Noah Smith: Mass deportations will not significantly raise native workers' wages
“The reason why a flood of immigration does not really actually reduce wages is that immigrants are also buying things and the demand from buying things creates labor demand for native born people. And so, so immigrants really don't do much to wages. And what t…”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 40:53 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Insight
Noah Smith: High-skilled immigration has strongly positive economic impact, unlike low-skilled
“When you look at the economic impact of low skilled immigration, it's not a lot. Either way. But when you look at the economic impact of high skilled immigration, it's strongly positive. So we're really playing with fire if we start kicking out the smart peopl…”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 43:14 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Insight
Noah Smith: Social media drove polarization by eliminating geographic and ideological segregation
“I think it's primarily social media. I think that social media so, so I think that Americans, America was this very big, diverse country. You had ideological diversity. We had geographic diversity, not just like racial diversity, which is what we typically thi…”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 25:38 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Insight
Smith: Rising great powers historically fight small wars before large ones
“Like in the past, rising powers usually have a small war before the big war.”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 51:38 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Insight
Smith: Advanced tech alone does not win wars without scale
“Technology alone does not win wars as Germany found out in world war II when they had great rocket bombs and jet fighters. And that did absolutely nothing to help them win.”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 53:05 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
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