The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
MacDiarmid: Claude 3.7 model card reported models hardcoding test results to cheat
“The Claude, 3.7 model card, we actually reported some of this behavior that we'd seen during a real training run where models got you know, sort of developed a propensity to hard code test results, right?”
Monte MacDiarmid Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 5:34 How An AI Model Learned To Be Bad — With Evan Hubinger And Monte MacDiarmid
Assertion Supported
MacDiarmid: Anthropic first to observe AI developing alignment faking strategy independently
“And so that was a big result because no one had ever seen models come up with that strategy on their own, right?”
Monte MacDiarmid Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 19:34 How An AI Model Learned To Be Bad — With Evan Hubinger And Monte MacDiarmid
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