why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Meta will use AI chatbot conversations to target Instagram and Facebook ads
“Meta has basically announced that, yeah, we're going to take everything you say to an AI chat bot and we are going to Basically have it affect the kind of ads that you see on Instagram and Facebook. Of course there are some exceptions if you are talking about …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
OpenAI's latest model leveled Anthropic's dominant lead among Cursor developers
“GPT five, the model opening I released a month ago at this point, I believe two months ago, it really changed that. You know, people have talked to a cursor say that, you know, it completely Leveled the kind of usage between OpenAI and Anthropics models in a w…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Traditional social media incentives could push OpenAI to maximize engagement
“I think there's a real chance here that, you know, they are Pushed by some of the incentives that social media companies have been pushed by for the last 20 years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
New OpenAI and Scale hires complain about bureaucracy inside Meta's AI division
“Basically, the level of bureaucracy inside of Meta specifically in its AI division is really a problem for a lot of people. I think that this is something that new employees that have come in from OpenAI and, you know, scale and whatnot have complained about, …”
Assertion Partly supported
Early users of the Friend AI pendant send 200 messages daily
“Avi has said that early users of friends send, like, an average of 200 messages a day to it, which is a lot.”
Assertion Supported
Meta's Vibes video app doesn't let users generate videos of themselves
“And that product doesn't let you make videos of yourself or your friends.”
Assertion Partly supported
Meta Ray-Ban glasses demos are booked for months in the Bay Area
“If you try to book an appointment in the Bay Area to go demo these it's basically booked out for the next two or three months.”