The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 1open predictions → 0held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Manyika: Useful quantum computing applications will emerge within five years

“So I actually think we're going to start to see useful applications in the next five or so years from quantum computing.”

James Manyika Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 40:31 How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027

Manyika: Google aims to conduct AI training runs in space by 2027

“So the first milestone is we're hoping that in 20, 27 will have done a couple training runs in space.”

James Manyika Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 45:37 How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika

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The Ledger

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