why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Brockman: Frontier AI models are solving unsolved math and physics problems
“These models are now solving unsolved math problems and physics problems, right? Really helping people be able to achieve things they couldn't otherwise.”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: AI models are now solving unsolved math and physics problems
“These models are now solving unsolved math problems and physics problems, right?”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: ChatGPT Image Generation Uses GPT Architecture, Not Diffusion Models
“The reason we're able to do that is because it's not actually on the world model, like diffusion model tech, tech branch. It's actually based on the GPT architecture, and so there, even though it's a different data distribution, the actual core technology at t…”
Assertion Partly supported
Brockman: OpenAI Abilene Supercomputer Annually Uses Water Equivalent to One Household
“If you actually look at our Abilene facility, which is one of, if not the biggest supercomputers in the world, the amount of water it uses Is the same as a household over the course of a year, right? So it's really negligible water use.”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: Doctors used OpenAI's o3 to diagnose a 20-year mysterious ailment
“Like, for example, today we announced I we have in peer reviewed literature, people, doctors who are using O three. Remember O three? It was like forever ago now. Right. It was like one of our earliest reasoning models using that to find diagnoses for People w…”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: Doctors use OpenAI's o3 model to diagnose long-unsolved medical cases
“Today we announced I we have in peer-reviewed literature people, doctors who are using O. Three. Remember O. Three? I was like forever ago now, right? It was like one of our earliest reasoning models using that to find diagnoses for People who I had no, no ans…”
Prediction Held up
Brockman: Future voice AI will process input and output simultaneously
“The obvious thing that you want to accomplish is a model An AI that works much more like you and I do, right? That's able to process input at the same time it's processing output. And all of that is, of course, something that many people in this field are tryi…”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: Nvidia H100 prices are up despite being previous-gen hardware
“You can see that with some of the prices that people are paying for each 100, right? Hoppers are, you know, kind of, you know, not, not obsolete, right? But they're a previous gen chip and nor in any normal situation, we're not totally supply constrained. No o…”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: OpenAI cuts intelligence prices tenfold to hundredfold year-over-year
“We have dropped prices on the same level of intelligence year over year, sometimes by literally a factor of a hundred, right? It's like at least in order of magnitude year over year, sometimes literally a hundred.”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: North Dakota Utility Rates Decreased Following Local Data Center Construction
“We've seen, for example, in North Dakota that people's rates have gone down because a data center has shown up and has helped with improving the utilities for everyone.”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: Nvidia H100 market prices are up despite older generation status
“You can see that with some of the prices that people are paying for each 100, right? Hoppers are, you know, kind of, you know, not, not obsolete, right? But they're a previous gen chip and nor in any normal situation, we're not totally supply constrained. No o…”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: Codex app functions as a general tool-using agent harness
“The Codex app today is something which is a, it's really two things in one. It's a general agent harness that can use tools, and it's also a agent that knows how to write software.”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: Major AI Compute Purchases Require 18 to 24 Month Lead Times
“These compute purchases You have to lock them in 18 months, sometimes 24 months, sometimes longer, In advance of them actually being delivered, which means you really need to project forward.”