why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Michael: Anthropic contract banned AI use for weapons engineering and kinetics
“The provisions that were in the contracts that ultimately serve the Department of War said you can't use it for planning kinetic actions, you can't use it to develop weapon systems, so all the science, engineering, aerodynamics, all...”
Assertion Supported
Michael: Pentagon AI systems require human authorization, not an autonomous 'Skynet'
“It's not like, it's not a Skynet thing, like, no. It is a tool like any other tool that you might have on your computer, or in your war room, or with your team, except it's on your computer, visualized where, but you still have Checks and balances. You still h…”
Assertion Supported
Michael: Palantir serves as an AI orchestration layer for military data
“I think the genesis of what Palantir does is an orchestration layer on top of data streams that we, data that we put in it and say, here's the data we would normally use for any battlefield operation, plus an AI to help you synthesize it. So all those things a…”
Assertion Partly supported
Michael: DoD Has 35-Page Directive Governing Human Oversight of AI Systems
“And we've written that there's a 35 page directive at the DoD that talks about
Human oversight and how we manage these systems, and we're constantly updating that and making sure we have the right controls on it.”
Assertion Supported
Pentagon Drone Dominance Program Requires Zero Supply Chain Dependency on Adversaries
“So that is one of the requirements is that the drones that we use at the Drone Dominance Program don't have a dependency on, on adversaries.”
Assertion Supported
Michael: US is seeing greatest defense tech VC boom in history
“There's defense, the greatest VC boom in defense tech, In a country's history.”
Assertion Supported
Emil Michael: AI model upgrade cycles have compressed to three months
“How many, the upgrade cycles for these things are now compressing to now three-ish months. So every three months you have a new set of model weights, a new set of guardrails, a new set of bugs in the way the model behaves, the way it hallucinates or doesn't ha…”
Assertion Supported
Michael: US defense contractors consolidated from 50 in 1980s to five
“So, so in the eighties, during the height of the cold war, we had about 50 defense contractors, five zero, and they consolidated down to five.”