why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shevelenko: Computer-using AI agents were impossible before late 2025
“You couldn't have built something like computer before November, December of last year, because model capabilities advance where you can have longer time horizons for running tasks, right? Where you're not just answering a question, but you're actually doing W…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Perplexity content team ships production code without engineers via Perplexity Computer
“We have people on our content team that submit pull requests, basically ship You know, code that goes live into production without engineers being in the loop. And that's all being run through Perplexity Computer.”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2031
Shevelenko: Codex and proprietary AI assistants will never run rival models
“So the one thing that Codex is never going to be able to support is running Gemini models. You know, they will always be in the GPT family. Same thing for, you know, Claude, like they're not gonna, you know, have GPT models. Gemini is not gonna have Grok model…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shevelenko: Hardware will matter more as software faces commoditization pressure
“Apple's always been an incredible hardware company, and I think, ah, this is, you know, an era where hardware will matter even more because software is gonna face waves of commoditization pressure.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shevelenko: The gap between the top two AI models has never exceeded 15%
“Since this industry has kicked off, there's never been a moment where the delta between the, you know, the best model and the second best model was, like, more than maybe, like, a 10, 15% gap.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shevelenko: Perplexity has never subsidized paying Pro or Max users
“So we at Perplexity, we've never subsidized paying users. So if you're on a, you know, pro or max plan you know, we're, thank you, you're contributing to our success.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shevelenko: Perplexity 5x'd ARR to $500M With Only 34% Headcount Growth
“As we've increased our ARR by five X, you know, from a hundred million to five hundred million, we only grew a head count 34%.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shevelenko: Perplexity Computer users consume more credits each week, driving revenue
“The longer people have had access to computer. I mean, this stuff is still brand new, but they're using it consuming more computer credits every week. Than the previous week, right? So we're actually just in, in the extreme upward part of the ramp. That's a bi…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shevelenko predicts powerful reasoning models will run locally on Mac Minis
“Well, I certainly think that as models get more powerful, you will certainly be, and as, you know, local CPUs get more powerful as well, you're going to be able to distill powerful reasoning models to a size where they can run on a Mac mini.”