why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Next-Generation Google and Samsung Smart Glasses Will Appear By Summer 2026
“We've done some great partnerships with Warby Parker and Gentle Monster and Samsung to build these next generation glasses. And you should start seeing that you know, maybe by the summer.”
Assertion Supported
Hassabis: Test-time compute elevated AlphaZero from master level to superhuman
“We had versions of AlphaGo and AlphaZero with the thinking turned off, so it was just the model telling you its first idea. And, you know, it's not bad, it's maybe like master level, something like that, but then if you turn the thinking on, it's way beyond wo…”
Assertion Supported
DeepMind math AI achieves Olympiad silver medals despite making basic errors
“You have systems some systems that we work on, like alpha proof, alpha geometry, that are getting, you know, silver medals in maths olympiads, which is fantastic, but on the other hand, Some of our systems, those same systems are still making some fairly basic…”
Assertion Supported
Hassabis: DeepMind Chief Scientist Shane Legg Co-Invented the Term AGI
“Shane Legg, who's our chief scientist who was one of the people who invented the term 25 years back.”
Assertion Supported
Hassabis: Top Go player reached record Elo learning from AlphaGo
“The best South Go player in the world is a South Korean, and he was about 15, I think, when AlphaGo match happened. He's in his mid-twenties now, and he's by far the strongest player there's ever, Been by the ELO ratings, because he's learned natively, young e…”
Assertion Supported
Hassabis: Three million researchers worldwide use AlphaFold
“And it's been incredibly gratifying to see, you know, three million researchers around the world use it in their important research.”