The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 2open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2027

Plouffe: Vance will break from Trump and Sacks on AI by 2027

“I believe that J.D. Vance will separate from Sachs and Trump on AI by, you know, first or second quarter of twenty-twenty-seven. Not all the way, but he's gonna have to.”

David Plouffe May 22, 2026 ▶ 12:09 How AI Changes Society, And Society Changes AI — With Obama Campaign Manager David Plouffe

Prediction Open · timeframe May 2046

Plouffe: Kids will still have to learn to drive in 20 years

“Kids will still have to learn to drive in 20 years from now, even if we have massive adoption just because of the production challenges and the adoption curve.”

David Plouffe May 22, 2026 ▶ 20:25 How AI Changes Society, And Society Changes AI — With Obama Campaign Manager David Plouffe

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