The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Plouffe: Vance will break from Trump and Sacks on AI by 2027
“I believe that J.D. Vance will separate from Sachs and Trump on AI by, you know, first or second quarter of twenty-twenty-seven. Not all the way, but he's gonna have to.”
Plouffe: Mechanized robot battalions will make nations enter more wars
“You're going to have fully mechanized battalions. And what does that do? Where some countries have that and some don't. And, or, if everybody eventually gets it, my view is, you just have to be a casual student of history to know leaders like conflict. We'll h…”
Plouffe: Autonomous vehicles will be biggest public health win since anti-smoking
“I think autonomous vehicles, I mean, if they're going to get adopted on scale, both trucking and for passenger use over time, it'll be the biggest public health victory since the efforts to cease smoking. By, you know, we have, it's the greatest reason that pe…”
Plouffe: AI won't drive 2026 midterms, but could dominate 2028 election
“AI is not going to drive the 26 election. The biggest part of 26 election is all the spending that's happening. It's like Star Wars out there, but there's not many voters are going to cast their vote in 26 on AI. But I think it's quite possible, not likely, bu…”
Plouffe: Kids will still have to learn to drive in 20 years
“Kids will still have to learn to drive in 20 years from now, even if we have massive adoption just because of the production challenges and the adoption curve.”