The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2043
Friedberg: 90% to 95% chance scalable fusion exists within two decades
“I would say there's probably a 90 plus percent chance or 95% chance that we will have scalable fusion energy in the next decade or two”
David Friedberg Feb 15, 2023 ▶ 51:16 David Friedberg — How Technology Solves Our Climate Crisis
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