The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2043
Friedberg: 90% to 95% chance scalable fusion exists within two decades
“I would say there's probably a 90 plus percent chance or 95% chance that we will have scalable fusion energy in the next decade or two”
David Friedberg Feb 15, 2023 ▶ 51:16 David Friedberg — How Technology Solves Our Climate Crisis
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: SPAC market will not recover quickly and will filter to profitable businesses
“I don't think that there's going to be a quick return to SPAC land anytime soon. In fact, I think it'll only filter out to businesses like what we're doing with Lavoro, profitable, scaled, growing, you know, kind of where you can measure it on its financial re…”
David Friedberg Feb 15, 2023 ▶ 34:53 David Friedberg — How Technology Solves Our Climate Crisis
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