The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Cahn: Microsoft wins whether frontier AI models succeed or commoditize
“Microsoft's distribution machine is amazing. So it, Microsoft benefits, if OpenAI and the labs win, and it's all frontier models, and it's not commoditized, he owns a lot of that. He's going to do great. If they get to AGI, great. Like owning 20% of AGI is pre…”
Cahn: AI competition is fundamentally a resource allocation game for Big Tech
“Starcraft is a resource allocation game and AI is a resource allocation game. And so I think as we get into it, what are your resources and how do you allocate those resources? That's the most important question facing every big tech company.”