The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Hendrycks: AI poses no immediate extinction risk because it cannot make PowerPoints
“So, I don't think AI poses a risk of extinction like today, ok? I don't think that they're powerful enough to do that. They, because they can't make PowerPoints yet, right? They don't have Agential skills. They can't accomplish tasks that require many hours to…”
Hendrycks: The next-token prediction paradigm in AI is running out of steam
“That sort of paradigm does seem like it's running out of steam. It has held for many, many orders of magnitude but the returns on doing that are lower.”
Hendrycks: Elon Musk's X successfully reduced self-censorship in US discourse
“I think that overall in terms of cultural influence and people being more disagreeable and doing less self-censoring has been has been successful. I think that was the main objective of it. And so I think I think that X had a large role to play there. So I don…”
Hendrycks: Open-weight AI releases should be restricted for critical infrastructure cyber risks
“If for instance they have these cyber capabilities later on yeah, I think that, or I think that would be a potential place to be drawing the line on on open weight releases personally. In particular the ones that could cause damage to critical infrastructure.”