The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
DeepMind CBO: AGI will traverse branching scientific problems at unimaginable scale
“Once we solve one problem that typically opens up and shows this kind of branching set of new problems, the AGI system will be able to kind of trans translate across that problem space at a speed and scale that we can't even imagine today.”
Murdock: Merging LLMs and reinforcement learning will drive major AI breakthroughs
“I don't know exactly what the breakthrough will be, but I'm really excited about the union of these LLMs plus reinforcement learning. And I'm excited about that because I think there's a lot more to come from reinforcement learning. And I know at Google D mine…”
Murdock: DeepMind's MuZero algorithm dramatically reduces YouTube streaming bandwidth
“We were able to take an algorithm developed for games. That was a master in chess and use that to dramatically reduce the bandwidth requirement to stream YouTube videos.”
Murdock: AI research has not yet reached the limits of model scaling
“We haven't necessarily reached the limit of making these models bigger either. We're not, no one's quite sure where that limit is.”
Murdock: Google's Gemini accepts and outputs both text and images natively
“One of the really important areas it's touching on is what we call multi-modality. It's a bit like the human senses you just described. We can kind of use all our human senses together and combined to achieve the goal where we're setting out to. So it will bri…”
Murdock: DeepMind compares its AI mission to the Apollo project
“I think the comparison that I often hear is actually of the Apollo project, the space project... Well, maybe, maybe I hear it more because that's actually how Google DeepMind, we often think about it and talk about it.”
Murdock: DeepMind mapped all 200M known proteins using AlphaFold
“We've used AlphaFold now to map all two hundred million proteins known to science, or two hundred million proteins known to science, and we've made that available to everyone.”
DeepMind: Human Go players improved performance using AlphaGo
“What we discovered, however, was that once we then made AlphaGo more generally available, the humans actually used AlphaGo to improve their performance.”
Murdock: DeepMind's Flamingo generates search metadata across YouTube Shorts videos
“We discovered Flamingo was also able to look at that video for you, essentially watch all the videos for you and add data, metadata to those videos, such that when you're searching for those videos, it's much easier, much, much easier to find the videos that y…”