why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2028
Sharp: AI model providers will launch competing telemetry products within 18 months
“I have a near 100% belief that the, that these companies will eventually want to compete with my business. And so, you know, I need them. I need their models. I need the intelligence that they're selling, but I'm, I have some very real concerns that, you know,…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sharp: Cybersecurity faces a severe 12-month crisis before AI defense rebounds
“We're gonna have a really bad year. In terms of security, ah, and hacking in general, and people, ah, you know, being exploited. It's gonna be a bad year. But we only really have to go through it once. As the cost of this intelligence comes down, we will event…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sharp: AI will commoditize software features across all vendors
“Building software is so productive, especially copying software. So if I, like, if you have a feature, I can implement a version of that feature. Super easy. You point the models at it, and they make you something that looks like that, feels like that, does th…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sharp: Most enterprises are years away from sophisticated AI model improvement
“And kind of where I see most enterprises at, I think they are likely
Years away from being able to do anything that, that sophisticated.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sharp: Enterprise resistance to vendor AI terms will vanish in five years
“It's getting better, and that's a temporary, I mean, in five years we'll have forgotten that, that this was even a thing, but it is definitely an impediment”