why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Catanzaro: Humans will primarily interact with AI inside virtual worlds
“And I think that the primary way that people are going to interact with AI is going to be in virtual worlds. Because I think that's going to be the most natural way of interaction in the most useful way.”
Insight
Catanzaro: Training data and compute matter more than AI model architecture
“The model is less important than the data. And the compute that goes into training the model. If you have a model that has really excellent compute properties that allows you to scale really well, efficiently to, you know, many thousand of GPUs, the kinds of r…”
Insight
Catanzaro: ChatGPT signaled an era where applied AI research dominates academics
“To me, that was a statement that we were entering a new era of AI where applied research starts to dominate, you know, so Chachapiti didn't come out with a fully fledged academic paper that described exactly what they did to make it so awesome. But because the…”
Opinion
Catanzaro: The greatest risk with AI is failing to adopt it
“I think the scariest thing for me is you know, are we gonna you know, not figure out how to use this technology? Because I think we desperately need it. I think our world desperately needs more intelligence.”
Assertion Supported
Catanzaro: About 40% of NVIDIA data center GPUs go to inference
“Jensen said in the earnings call this week that somewhere around 40% of our data center GPUs were going for inference, which I think is you know, pretty amazing and definitely a shift from where things have been a few years ago.”
Assertion Supported
Catanzaro: NVIDIA Hopper GPUs feature superior circuits designed by internal AI
“Our hopper GPUs, for example, have a lot of circuits in them that were designed by AI that we built ourselves that have better speed and power and cost characteristics than we knew how to build with any other tool.”
What-if
Catanzaro: AI community would have found a Transformer alternative without Google
“If Google had not open source that or had not published that paper but if we started seeing like incredible language modeling results we would have figured out some sort of a model that had good scalable properties that that could help with this space.”
Insight
Catanzaro: Accelerated computing requires optimizing the full stack for key workloads
“Acceleration really is about specialization. It's about being able to focus and prioritize and say, this is the workload that matters most, and I'm going to optimize the entire stack for that workload.”
Insight
Catanzaro: Treat life like gradient descent by iterating rather than over-planning
“I think that you know, you could spend an awful lot of time trying to be very precise about what direction to go to make things better, but often the right thing to do is just make a guess, take a step, And then reevaluate what the best direction is next, and …”