The Ledger
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why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Lightcap: GPT-5 does not qualify as an AGI system
“And so I do, I think we're at a system that I would call AGI. No. But I think we see, we start to see the traces and the pieces of that overall system for generalized learning start to come together in models like GPT-V and I suspect suspect in its successors.”
Lightcap: GPT-5 capability overhang would fuel ten years of product building
“I think you could pause AI progress right here for 10 years, and you'd still have about a decade worth of new products to get built, of new ways that people figure out how to use the models even at a GPT-V level model in interesting products and interesting pr…”