The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Teller: Signers of AI pause letter will keep working on AI regardless
“Lots of people who signed that letter, and lots of other people in the world are going to keep working on it, no matter what letter they're signed.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 10:45 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Assertion Partly supported
Teller: Project Taara delivers 20 Gbps over 20 km at sub-0.1% fiber cost
“If you plug the internet like a fiber optic cable into one, you have 20 gigabits per second up to 20 kilometers away for less than one 1000th the cost of trenching fiber.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 49:10 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Assertion Supported
Teller: Fish has one-eighth the carbon footprint of beef
“And because the carbon footprint of a pound of fish is one eighth the carbon footprint of a pound of beef, we are wildly better off as humanity moving to producing food through aquaculture.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 24:55 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Assertion Supported
Teller: Google Brain and Transformer foundations originated inside Alphabet's X lab
“One of the early things that we did was a thing which, when we graduated back to Google, was called Google Brain. Google Brain is the origin of much of what you now think of as Bard, and so that was an example in the earlier days of X of us making something, r…”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 28:19 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Assertion Partly supported
Teller: Project Loon worked technically but failed on commercial spectrum deals
“We built it. It was working. We were beaming LTE and five G 200 of thousands of people in multiple countries. We couldn't figure out how to get the business to close with the owners of the spectrum that we had to work through in those different companies. So w…”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 46:54 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Assertion Supported
Teller: Humanity derives up to $3 trillion annually from oceans
“So the humanity gets about two and a half, almost three trillion dollars a year from the oceans.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 23:48 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Assertion Contradicted
Teller: Global manufacturing spending is approaching $10 trillion annually
“The world spends sort of pushing 10 trillion dollars a year making stuff.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 34:32 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
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