The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Teller: Extreme AI outcomes will not happen in our lifetime
“Do I believe that anything particularly extreme in our lifetime is going to happen? I don't. I'm sorry, but I've been working on robots trying to open doorknobs for like the last 30 years, and it's been a slog.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 12:01 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Prediction Held up
Teller: Signers of AI pause letter will keep working on AI regardless
“Lots of people who signed that letter, and lots of other people in the world are going to keep working on it, no matter what letter they're signed.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 10:45 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Teller: If half the world halts AI, the other half keeps going
“And I really think if we get to that line and then some half of humanity says, okay, we're out, the other half of the humanity is just going to keep going.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 13:29 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Teller: AI-guided design will transform every discipline over 30 to 40 years
“We're going to see this sort of thing play out In every discipline in the world over the next 30 or 40 years, and it will take a long time.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 21:31 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
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