The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Teller: Extreme AI outcomes will not happen in our lifetime
“Do I believe that anything particularly extreme in our lifetime is going to happen? I don't. I'm sorry, but I've been working on robots trying to open doorknobs for like the last 30 years, and it's been a slog.”
Teller: Missing digital grid maps cause 10-year delays for connecting solar power
“If you go to a system operator and say, show me the digital map of where every inverter, every transformer, every wire is in your grid, they will just say, we don't have that. And that's why it takes them 10 years. When you wonder why there are 10 year waits i…”
Teller: Modern commercial airplanes fly themselves almost entirely using AI
“The plane that flew you here flew itself almost the entire way using artificial intelligence, and we all rely on artificial intelligence every day, whether we realize it or not.”
Teller: Signers of AI pause letter will keep working on AI regardless
“Lots of people who signed that letter, and lots of other people in the world are going to keep working on it, no matter what letter they're signed.”
Teller: If half the world halts AI, the other half keeps going
“And I really think if we get to that line and then some half of humanity says, okay, we're out, the other half of the humanity is just going to keep going.”
Teller: Completed wind and solar farms are idling due to grid bottlenecks
“Think about the tsunami of renewables that are already waiting. They've literally already been built. They're just sitting there in the dirt, wind farms and solar panels waiting because we don't have a virtualization of the grid.”
Teller: Project Taara delivers 20 Gbps over 20 km at sub-0.1% fiber cost
“If you plug the internet like a fiber optic cable into one, you have 20 gigabits per second up to 20 kilometers away for less than one 1000th the cost of trenching fiber.”
Teller: AI-guided design will transform every discipline over 30 to 40 years
“We're going to see this sort of thing play out In every discipline in the world over the next 30 or 40 years, and it will take a long time.”
Teller: Fish has one-eighth the carbon footprint of beef
“And because the carbon footprint of a pound of fish is one eighth the carbon footprint of a pound of beef, we are wildly better off as humanity moving to producing food through aquaculture.”
Teller: Google Brain and Transformer foundations originated inside Alphabet's X lab
“One of the early things that we did was a thing which, when we graduated back to Google, was called Google Brain. Google Brain is the origin of much of what you now think of as Bard, and so that was an example in the earlier days of X of us making something, r…”
Teller: Seriously automating a factory currently costs $1 billion
“Right now it costs a billion dollars to seriously automate a factory.”
Teller: Project Loon worked technically but failed on commercial spectrum deals
“We built it. It was working. We were beaming LTE and five G 200 of thousands of people in multiple countries. We couldn't figure out how to get the business to close with the owners of the spectrum that we had to work through in those different companies. So w…”
Teller: Taara moves more daily data than Project Loon's entire history
“And we're rolling these out right now in mainly Africa and India. And that project is now moving more data to real customers per day than Loon moved in its entire history.”