The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Perplexity link clicks will be more valuable than Google clicks
“Our sense is also that the value of a link click on perplexity will be more than on Google. You know, your pitch has to be a way higher intent to still leave the site and go.”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 29:27 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Prediction Held up
Srinivas: Anthropic will release a model better than GPT-4 in 2024
“I actually think they will end up creating a model better than GPT-IV this year. Like, it, it's sort of almost guaranteed to happen. So I believe it's going to happen with CLAW-III.”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 40:30 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Prediction Held up
Srinivas: OpenAI will stay ahead of competitors with GPT-4.5 or GPT-5
“I'm sure there's a GPT 4.5 or five that will stay ahead. So it really is going to be a cat and mouse game there where Anthropics playing catch up and OpenAI is ahead through multimodal capabilities, reasoning capabilities, and things, things like that.”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 40:45 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: OpenAI's ultimate value will lie in ChatGPT, not model APIs
“I think OpenAI's value will lie in the ChatGPT product itself. The end-to-end product, and they're going to face competition there, too.”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 42:03 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
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