The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Wang: Military AI will function as deterrence and prevent conflicts
“My hope certainly is that while AIs Application into military is something that is, is very concerning and potentially extremely powerful. It is the sort of same overall effect, which is to ultimately deter more conflict than create it.”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 22:07 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Opinion
Wang: US must possess superior AI to prevail in conflict with China
“If you believe that there's some potential of some kind of conflict over Taiwan or other, some kind of other, like, hot conflict between the US and China then we really, the United States needs to ensure that we have the best possible AI technology to ensure t…”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 4:14 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Opinion
Wang: US chip export controls successfully hamper China's frontier AI development
“There is a very real hamper in a lot of their progress too, which is the chip export controls. And this has been an incredible effort, I think, from the U.S. Department of Commerce and the, you know, the Biden administration in general to sort of hamper the ab…”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 13:50 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Opinion
Wang: AI development is currently more bottlenecked by data than compute
“I honestly think right now at where we are in AI development today We are more bottlenecked by data than we are compute.”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 51:47 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
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