The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Stamos: Autonomous AI Hacking Will Be Standard in Three to Six Months
“In a way, I'm really glad this happened, because it is a warning of what we need to get ready for maybe something about three to six months from now, what's going to become standard, right?”
Stamos: Banning vulnerability-finding AI will force US firms onto Chinese models
“What would be terrible for the entire American AI and cybersecurity industries is if the Trump administration defines a jailbreak as having any ability to find any vulnerability in code, because then all of us have to go to Chinese models.”
Broad AI bug-finding bans will force US cybersecurity to Chinese models
“What would be terrible for the entire American AI and cybersecurity industries is if the Trump administration defines a jailbreak as having any ability to find any vulnerability in code, because then all of us have to go to Chinese models.”
Stamos: Autonomous AI Hacking Will Reach Every Adversary Facing US Companies
“This level of capability will be in the hand of every adversary every American company faces.”
Stamos: International Treaties to Halt AI Development Will Not Happen
“You've got people talking about international treaties or whatever. I don't think any of that's going to happen. I don't know what my position is on that, but I just don't think it's going to happen. I just, I think there's no way this is just math and Silicon…”
Stamos: Cybersecurity Faces Years of Total Chaos From Autonomous AI Attackers
“I think we're gonna go through a couple of years of craziness. Like, we have 20, we're all living using twenty-something years of really important software that was written mostly in non-type-safe, non-memory-safe languages. We're using, you know, for the soft…”
Claude Opus 4.8 will catch 70% of important cybersecurity bugs
“Use Opus four eight right now, and I guarantee you'll get 70% of the bugs you care about.”
Stamos: Advanced AI Cybersecurity Evaluations Will Require Physical Air-Gapping
“And I expect what's going to happen now is that these things are going to be completely and totally physically sandboxed, right? Like, you're going to have to run them in physically disconnected If it needs packages, you're gonna have to move the packages over…”
Stamos: Nobody Will Face Legal Action Over the OpenAI-Hugging Face Breach
“And because they're all working together, I expect nobody goes to jail. Nobody gets sued. Everybody's going to hold hands and hug.”
Stamos: Long-Term Software Security Will Improve via Human-AI Collaboration
“In the long run, software is going to be much better because AI is going to be paired up with humans to make it more secure and more trustworthy, but it's going to take us years to do that and to clear out the two decades of mistakes we made.”