The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 88 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Brockman: Future voice AI will process input and output simultaneously
“The obvious thing that you want to accomplish is a model An AI that works much more like you and I do, right? That's able to process input at the same time it's processing output. And all of that is, of course, something that many people in this field are tryi…”
Brockman: Today's frontier AI intelligence will be much cheaper within a year
“I think the thing you should anticipate is that over a year long time horizon to get to today's level of intelligence that feels very premier, it's going to be much cheaper. But there's going to be a new thing that is going to be so much better.”
Brockman: Nvidia H100 prices are up despite being previous-gen hardware
“You can see that with some of the prices that people are paying for each 100, right? Hoppers are, you know, kind of, you know, not, not obsolete, right? But they're a previous gen chip and nor in any normal situation, we're not totally supply constrained. No o…”
Brockman: About 230M People Use ChatGPT for Health Queries Weekly
“I think that there's about two hundred thirty million people each week who use chat GPT for health queries.”
Brockman: Prompt engineering may become more vibrant rather than dying
“Which I actually think the prompt
Engineering, in some ways, may be even more vibrant than before.”
Brockman: OpenAI cuts intelligence prices tenfold to hundredfold year-over-year
“We have dropped prices on the same level of intelligence year over year, sometimes by literally a factor of a hundred, right? It's like at least in order of magnitude year over year, sometimes literally a hundred.”
Brockman: OpenAI resells compute at positive operating margins amid outsized demand
“We rent, build, buy, compute, and we resell it with some positive margin, and as long as it's, you know, positive operating margin, and as long as there's scalable demand for intelligence, which I think is true as long as there's problems to solve, like, no on…”
Brockman: OpenAI's Top Priorities Are Personal Assistants and Problem-Solving Agents
“And for us, it's very clear that they're, the stack rank includes two things at the top. One is the personal assistant. The other is the AI that can go and solve hard problems for you.”
Brockman: Sora Video Architecture Is a Separate Tech Branch From GPT
“The Sora models, which are incredible models, by the way, are a different branch of the tech tree than the core Reasoning GPT series. They're just built in a very different way, and to some extent we're really saying that pursuing both branches is very hard fo…”
Brockman: OpenAI Continues Sora Research Program Specifically for Robotics Applications
“We are actually continuing the SOAR research program in the context of robotics, right, which I think is very clearly going to be a transformative application, which is still a little bit in the research phase”
Brockman: OpenAI Will Incrementally Ship Super App Vision Over Next Months
“We're taking incremental steps to get there over the next couple months. We should have shipped the complete vision of what we're talking about here, but it's gonna come in pieces”
Brockman: New 'Spud' Base Model Incorporates Two Years of OpenAI Research
“So I think of SPUD as a new base, as a new pre-train, and that we have had this I, I'd say it's like we have maybe two years worth of research that is coming to fruition in this model.”
Brockman: Human Operators Hold Strict Accountability When Autonomous AI Agents Fail
“If you're Trying to build a website and your agent messes it up and your user is affected. It's not really the agent's fault. It's your fault. And so you need to care. And I think that for people to use these tools, right, you need to realize that human agency…”
Brockman: AI Scaling Now Balances Raw Intelligence With Inference Costs
“We used to really just focus on the raw pre-training capability, but not think as much about the inference ability. And that's been a big change over the past 24 months to realize that it's a balance between You can have this model that has all those great pro…”
Brockman: OpenAI Commits to Funding Power Infrastructure to Protect Local Prices
“On power, we have a commitment that we are going to pay our own way to not drive up energy prices for people.”
Brockman: North Dakota Utility Rates Decreased Following Local Data Center Construction
“We've seen, for example, in North Dakota that people's rates have gone down because a data center has shown up and has helped with improving the utilities for everyone.”
Brockman: ChatGPT plugins failed because 2023 models lacked context and memory
“It didn't work at all because the models weren't ready, right? The form factor is correct. Obviously, you're going to have an AI that's able to like talk to your Gmail, like no question, but we could only like have three different connectors exposed to the mod…”
Brockman: Granular Operator Oversight Is Key to Building Trust in Autonomous AI
“And that's something we view as earned, right? It's not something that we can we can grant, but by providing lots of tools and control and oversight and supervision to the operator, to the person who this AI is operating on behalf of, like, we think that that …”
Brockman: AI hardware will serve as access interfaces, not the AI itself
“It's not going to be like that. It's going to be more like an interface, like no more than your phone is you, right? It's an interface to you. It's a way that I can sort of, you know, call you up whenever I need you, whenever I want to ask you a question. And …”
Brockman: Future voice AI will process input and output simultaneously
“And so the obvious thing that you want to accomplish is a model An AI that works much more like you and I do, right? That's able to process input at the same time it's processing output. And all of that is, of course, something that many people in this field a…”
Brockman: OpenAI designed its own network protocol for supercomputing infrastructure
“We have our own network protocol that we've had to design, that we have people who look at every single layer of the stack, that there's weird wiggles in the graph.”
Brockman: High General Intelligence Models Cannot Master Every Domain Without Specific Practice
“Intelligence is not a unidimensional thing, right? That that if you really zoom in, being good at different domains is something where even if you're you have a lot of raw intelligence, getting good, if you've never practiced, like you've never actually done a…”
Brockman: Nvidia H100 market prices are up despite older generation status
“You can see that with some of the prices that people are paying for each 100, right? Hoppers are, you know, kind of, you know, not, not obsolete, right? But they're a previous gen chip and nor in any normal situation, we're not totally supply constrained. No o…”
Brockman: Relies on ChatGPT to Manage Wife's Health Conditions
“You know, my wife has a number of health conditions, and I think that we've just been we've not like, I don't even know how to be able to manage many of her conditions right now without the use of chat.”
Brockman: OpenAI shifted focus from benchmark scores to real-world applications
“One thing that changed for us over the past 12, you know, 18 months, something like that, is that we used to really just be focused on, let's be, let's improve on the benchmarks, let's make these models more cerebr, cerebrally capable, But we now are really fo…”
Brockman: AI Progress Now Requires Real-World Feedback Over Benchmark Testing
“And that we're moving out of testing on benchmarks and sort of these almost cerebral demonstrations of capability to it actually being the case that for us to develop it further, we need to see it in the real world and get feedback from how people are using it…”
Brockman: OpenAI Will Expand Codex for General Knowledge Work Use
“We're going to make the Codex app just so much more usable for general knowledge work, because it already, what we've seen within OpenAI is all this organic adoption of people using it for that. So that'll be the first step, and there are many to come.”
Brockman: OpenAI Underinvested in Last-Mile Usability for Early Coding Models
“We always had the best numbers on different programming competitions, these very cerebral things, but the thing that we didn't invest in as much was that last mile of usability.”
Brockman: New Models Will Only Feel Different in Intelligence-Bottlenecked Domains
“I think that it will be A similar story where you, when you release it, there will be people who will try it and be like, this is a night and day different than anything I've seen. And then there will be some applications where we weren't necessarily intellige…”
Brockman: OpenAI Has Invested Heavily to Defend Against Prompt Injections
“If you're going to have an AI that is very smart, very capable, hooked up to lots of tools, you want to make sure that it can't be subverted by someone giving it a weird instruction. And that's something that we've invested in quite a lot, and I think have rea…”
Brockman: AI Models Now Have Raw Intelligence to Manage Spreadsheets and Presentations
“There's so much just very mechanical skill associated with Excel spreadsheets, with presentations, and if the AI has the context, it has the raw intelligence now to be able to do these things at a great level. So if we can just make it more accessible, suddenl…”
Brockman: Most OpenAI Revenue Has Come From Consumer Subscriptions
“To date, most of our revenue has come from consumer subscriptions, and that will always be very important.”
Brockman: Non-technical OpenAI staff use Codex as general-purpose agents
“You can hook up, like I hook up my codecs to Slack, to my Gmail, to my calendar, and there are many people within OpenAI, non-technical users, you know, it's got code in the name, but it's not really about code. It's really about having this general purpose to…”
Brockman: OpenAI employees barely use email, preferring Slack and Codex
“Within OpenAI, we basically have the same level of penetration now and usage of slack. Right. It's like everyone in opening eyes like an entirely slack based company. We do not use email for the most part. It's like really like if you're not on slack, you're n…”
Brockman: Speech-to-speech interface shares OpenAI's core model architecture
“Having a great speech to speech interface. That is something that also is going to make this technology very usable and very useful, but it's not a different branch of the tech tree. It's all kind of one model. And we just sort of tweak that in slightly differ…”
Brockman: Codex app functions as a general tool-using agent harness
“The Codex app today is something which is a, it's really two things in one. It's a general agent harness that can use tools, and it's also a agent that knows how to write software.”
Brockman: Codex usability for non-engineers remains quite low
“The Codex app itself was originally built for software engineers, and that it's almost like the current usability of it for non-software engineers is actually quite low, because there's a bunch of little things where, when you set things up, you run into some …”
Brockman Focused Primarily on OpenAI GPU Infrastructure Over Past 18 Months
“And that's where I've actually been spending most of my efforts over the past. 18 months has been really focused on our. GPU infrastructure on supporting the teams that do all of the training frameworks to scale up at these big runs”