why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Kantrowitz: Humans will violently attack and destroy humanoid robots
“Well, I think we will definitely have a war among people and humanoid robots. It's without a doubt. Even if the humanoid robots don't assemble into the army, people will knock these things out and they're already burning Waymos. People don't like robots. They …”
Opinion
Albergotti: Tesla's Camera Approach Is More Ambitious Than Waymo's Geofencing
“Tesla's taking a much more difficult road because they're doing it only with cameras, you know, that I think that to me makes it and there, and it's like general per they're really ultimately trying to get to like level five autonomy. Whereas Waymo is like, we…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Public will continue to physically attack autonomous robots and vehicles
“There's just gonna be discomfort there, and people are going to keep attacking these things.”
Opinion
Newton: Waymo is the best consumer technology experience most haven't had
“I think like Waymo is the best consumer technology experience that most people have not had.”
Insight
Shapiro: Autonomous vehicle safety requires combining cameras, radar, and lidar
“This diversity and redundancy is really how you get higher levels of safety. So cameras are great, but they don't work in all conditions, and so when you combine radar, when you combine lidar, you have the strengths of many different types of sensors, and they…”
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Waymo ranks alongside iPhone and ChatGPT as top tech experiences
“I put it up there with iPhone, chat GPT and Waymo cars, the three most amazing experiences I've had with tech in my lifetime.”
Insight
Teller: Autonomous driving delays stem from human drivers' legal gray areas
“One of the things that I think caught Waymo by surprise, got us by surprise, is that there are a lot of things that human drivers do that if we want to follow the laws, we can't do. Those humans just kind of like are in the gray area a lot about how they choos…”
Disclosure
Manyika: Google DeepMind develops specialized AI models for Waymo's autonomous driver
“And then you've got all these other, you know, special kind of ambitious projects working on things like Genie build world models. You've got work going on to build special things for Waymo and enhance the models that Waymo's that lead to Waymo, the Waymo driv…”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Waymo is about to start testing in New York City
“Waymo is about to start testing in New York City.”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Tesla is rolling out an Austin pilot with safety drivers
“We also have Tesla starting to roll out its pilot. In Austin, I think that's coming in the coming days, it's gonna be with safety drivers and Waymo will also be with drivers in the front seat until they until they get approval to drive.”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Waymo expanded Phoenix operational area past 200 square miles
“Waymo since 2021 has gone from 50 square miles of operation within Phoenix, which is already a decent amount of size to more than 200 square miles in Phoenix.”