The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Roy: OpenAI Syndicate Investors Are Paying a 100x Revenue Multiple
“They're on track to make 3.7 billion dollars this year. They're forecasting to triple that next year to 12.5 billion dollars. So first thing, the valuation, and this is kind of what blows my mind, the 2.5 billion dollar syndicate of KOTU, Altimeter, Thrive, Th…”
Ranjan Roy Apr 2, 2025 ▶ 6:47 OpenAI Raises $40 billion, Is AI a Letdown?, Musk Sells X to xAI
Opinion
Thrive Capital's OpenAI Investment Functions As An Expensive Marketing Play
“I don't see how it aligns with the traditional AI sorry, the traditional VC investing, unless what it's trying to do is say, hey, we have open AI in our portfolio company, and it believes that AI is going to be big enough, that that will be sort of like this f…”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 10:59 OpenAI Raising At $100 Billion Valuation
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Microsoft Will Invest The Least Among OpenAI Funding Round Participants
“I expect Microsoft to be, of those four, the company that puts the least amount of money in, if all four go in.”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 3:28 OpenAI Raising At $100 Billion Valuation
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