The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Roy: Tesla and SpaceX will inevitably have to merge
“Giving that little nugget to the world, starting to seed that idea, and I think it's almost, it has to happen, because these two companies, again, Tesla has a car business, SpaceX kind of has a space business, still has an internet satellite business, but they…”
Ranjan Roy Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 54:04 What Happens If AI Fails?, Subprime Data Center Crisis, How Bad Can SpaceX Get?
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2031
Costolo: SpaceX will acquire Tesla
“I think SpaceX, I am one of the people that believes SpaceX will buy Tesla.”
Dick Costolo May 27, 2026 ▶ 8:59 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Sorkin: SpaceX IPO Will Likely Outpace OpenAI in Valuation
“Oh, I imagine it does. I mean, I, if we're talking, I think the numbers now, 1.75 trillion dollars with a T. I think right now OpenAI isn't, doesn't start with a T yet, but maybe.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 59:35 Are We Screwed If AI Works? — With Andrew Ross Sorkin
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