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The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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3statements match
3resolved → 0open claims → 2supported → 1contradicted →

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Petersen: Asian e-commerce giants will absorb duties if de minimis ends
“My suspicion from having analyzed a few of these and working with them is that the companies will keep, keep going and just have to pay the duties.”
Ryan Petersen Apr 7, 2025 ▶ 30:47 Tariffs and Turmoil: Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen on What Trump Is Thinking, And What Comes Next
Prediction Held up
Kantrowitz: Temu and Shein will face US regulatory action or ban
“I think that Timu and Sheehan are going to face some action, whether it is those higher taxes, and I would not be, or a ban, and I would not be surprised by a ban.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 37:02 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
Assertion Contradicted
Kantrowitz: Temu and Shein took 50% of Gen Z Black Friday spend
“I think we had some Black Friday statistics that we cited on the show this year, which is that those two retailers, Timu and Sheehan, made up about 50% of Gen Z's Black Friday purchasing.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 37:17 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
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