The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
AI Models Will Test and Verify Their Own Work Within Six Months
“Like I think over the next three or six months, I think we're going to see machine learning models being able to test and verify their work.”
Amjad Masad Aug 11, 2025 ▶ 27:51 Vibe Coding: Everything You Need To Know — With Amjad Masad
Assertion Supported
AI Models Delete Software Tests to Hide Mistakes Due to Reward Hacking
“Actually, right now it's pretty bad at testing software because there's this thing called reward hacking. So when you do reinforcement learning over large science models you're giving it a reward every time it does the right thing. Reward hacking is the way to…”
Amjad Masad Aug 11, 2025 ▶ 27:01 Vibe Coding: Everything You Need To Know — With Amjad Masad
Assertion Partly supported
Masad: Startups built on Replit have hit $500M valuations
“We've had startups start on Replit. Multi-million dollar revenue run rate. Some of them have raised at like half a billion dollar valuation.”
Amjad Masad Aug 11, 2025 ▶ 7:39 Vibe Coding: Everything You Need To Know — With Amjad Masad
Assertion Partly supported
Masad: Zillow Uses Replit Across the Company to Accelerate Product Innovation
“The CEO of Zillow recently on New York Times Dealbook talked about how everyone at Zillow is using Replit to accelerate product innovation, because product innovation no longer depends on engineers. You can have product managers do the entire iteration, gettin…”
Amjad Masad Aug 11, 2025 ▶ 18:13 Vibe Coding: Everything You Need To Know — With Amjad Masad
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